**Stalled Ukraine negotiations following the 2025 Alaska summit have left U.S.-Russia bilateral diplomacy in a deadlock as of mid-August 2026, with no confirmed in-person Trump-Putin meeting scheduled.** Recent reports highlight cooled relations, broken-down direct talks over territorial issues, and a shift toward envoy-level contacts or multilateral channels rather than a dedicated bilateral summit. This underpins the 60.5% trader consensus on no meeting by December 31. China leads location probabilities at 32.5% due to deepening Moscow-Beijing ties, Putin’s May 2026 Beijing visit alongside Trump’s own trip, and speculation around potential APEC gatherings. U.S. odds remain low at 3.3% given the lack of momentum for another American-hosted encounter, while other venues show negligible pricing reflecting limited diplomatic signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDove si incontreranno Trump e Putin nel 2026?
Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin nel 2026?
Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre 60%
China 33%
United States 3.3%
Gulf country <1%
$495,807 Vol.
$495,807 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre
60%
China
33%
United States
3%
Gulf country
1%
Other
1%
Other EU country
1%
Turkey
1%
Russia
1%
Switzerland
<1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre 60%
China 33%
United States 3.3%
Gulf country <1%
$495,807 Vol.
$495,807 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre
$101,432 Vol.
60%
China
$62,870 Vol.
33%
United States
$25,355 Vol.
3%
Gulf country
$17,282 Vol.
1%
Other
$18,160 Vol.
1%
Other EU country
$16,060 Vol.
1%
Turkey
$25,095 Vol.
1%
Russia
$66,497 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$20,685 Vol.
<1%
Finland
$21,461 Vol.
<1%
Belarus
$19,715 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$17,474 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$17,686 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$24,772 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$41,264 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Stalled Ukraine negotiations following the 2025 Alaska summit have left U.S.-Russia bilateral diplomacy in a deadlock as of mid-August 2026, with no confirmed in-person Trump-Putin meeting scheduled.** Recent reports highlight cooled relations, broken-down direct talks over territorial issues, and a shift toward envoy-level contacts or multilateral channels rather than a dedicated bilateral summit. This underpins the 60.5% trader consensus on no meeting by December 31. China leads location probabilities at 32.5% due to deepening Moscow-Beijing ties, Putin’s May 2026 Beijing visit alongside Trump’s own trip, and speculation around potential APEC gatherings. U.S. odds remain low at 3.3% given the lack of momentum for another American-hosted encounter, while other venues show negligible pricing reflecting limited diplomatic signals.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$495,807Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Stalled Ukraine negotiations following the 2025 Alaska summit have left U.S.-Russia bilateral diplomacy in a deadlock as of mid-August 2026, with no confirmed in-person Trump-Putin meeting scheduled.** Recent reports highlight cooled relations, broken-down direct talks over territorial issues, and a shift toward envoy-level contacts or multilateral channels rather than a dedicated bilateral summit. This underpins the 60.5% trader consensus on no meeting by December 31. China leads location probabilities at 32.5% due to deepening Moscow-Beijing ties, Putin’s May 2026 Beijing visit alongside Trump’s own trip, and speculation around potential APEC gatherings. U.S. odds remain low at 3.3% given the lack of momentum for another American-hosted encounter, while other venues show negligible pricing reflecting limited diplomatic signals.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$495,807Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Stalled Ukraine negotiations following the 2025 Alaska summit have left U.S.-Russia bilateral diplomacy in a deadlock as of mid-August 2026, with no confirmed in-person Trump-Putin meeting scheduled.** Recent reports highlight cooled relations, broken-down direct talks over territorial issues, and a shift toward envoy-level contacts or multilateral channels rather than a dedicated bilateral summit. This underpins the 60.5% trader consensus on no meeting by December 31. China leads location probabilities at 32.5% due to deepening Moscow-Beijing ties, Putin’s May 2026 Beijing visit alongside Trump’s own trip, and speculation around potential APEC gatherings. U.S. odds remain low at 3.3% given the lack of momentum for another American-hosted encounter, while other venues show negligible pricing reflecting limited diplomatic signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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