The January 2026 U.S. operation that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife for narco-terrorism charges without deploying ground occupation forces has shaped trader views on invasion scenarios. U.S. officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio, have repeatedly stated no further military action or troop presence beyond potential embassy security is planned or expected. Subsequent developments include Delcy Rodríguez assuming interim leadership, U.S.-supervised transition talks resuming in August 2026 amid earthquake recovery efforts, U.S. oversight of oil revenues, and sanctions adjustments tied to cooperation on security and economic reforms. These factors, combined with congressional scrutiny of the prior action and regional diplomatic shifts, inform assessments of escalation risks through late 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGli Stati Uniti invaderanno il Venezuela per...?
Gli Stati Uniti invaderanno il Venezuela per...?
$14,195,417 Vol.
30 mar 2026
31 dicembre
4%
$14,195,417 Vol.
31 dicembre
$239,409 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The January 2026 U.S. operation that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife for narco-terrorism charges without deploying ground occupation forces has shaped trader views on invasion scenarios. U.S. officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio, have repeatedly stated no further military action or troop presence beyond potential embassy security is planned or expected. Subsequent developments include Delcy Rodríguez assuming interim leadership, U.S.-supervised transition talks resuming in August 2026 amid earthquake recovery efforts, U.S. oversight of oil revenues, and sanctions adjustments tied to cooperation on security and economic reforms. These factors, combined with congressional scrutiny of the prior action and regional diplomatic shifts, inform assessments of escalation risks through late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
Volume
$14,195,417Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The January 2026 U.S. operation that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife for narco-terrorism charges without deploying ground occupation forces has shaped trader views on invasion scenarios. U.S. officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio, have repeatedly stated no further military action or troop presence beyond potential embassy security is planned or expected. Subsequent developments include Delcy Rodríguez assuming interim leadership, U.S.-supervised transition talks resuming in August 2026 amid earthquake recovery efforts, U.S. oversight of oil revenues, and sanctions adjustments tied to cooperation on security and economic reforms. These factors, combined with congressional scrutiny of the prior action and regional diplomatic shifts, inform assessments of escalation risks through late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Volume
$14,195,417Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The January 2026 U.S. operation that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife for narco-terrorism charges without deploying ground occupation forces has shaped trader views on invasion scenarios. U.S. officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio, have repeatedly stated no further military action or troop presence beyond potential embassy security is planned or expected. Subsequent developments include Delcy Rodríguez assuming interim leadership, U.S.-supervised transition talks resuming in August 2026 amid earthquake recovery efforts, U.S. oversight of oil revenues, and sanctions adjustments tied to cooperation on security and economic reforms. These factors, combined with congressional scrutiny of the prior action and regional diplomatic shifts, inform assessments of escalation risks through late 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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