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icon for Trump insulterà Xi questa settimana?

Trump insulterà Xi questa settimana?

icon for Trump insulterà Xi questa settimana?

Trump insulterà Xi questa settimana?

4% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO

$60,972 Vol.

4% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO

$60,972 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks XI Jinping personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 for a high-stakes bilateral summit with Xi Jinping has anchored trader consensus at 96.5% for no public insult this week, reflecting his recent praise of Xi as a "great gentleman," "intelligent man," and leader with whom he maintains a "great relationship" despite policy frictions on trade, Taiwan, and the Iran conflict. Amid red-carpet diplomacy—including planned tête-à-têtes on AI, fentanyl, and Strait of Hormuz access—no insults have materialized, aligning with historical patterns of personal rapport during summits. Realistic shifts could arise from summit breakdowns, leaked concessions, or post-meeting Truth Social posts amid escalation signals, though traders price such risks as minimal given the ongoing de-escalation focus.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks XI Jinping personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$60,972
Data di fine
22 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks XI Jinping personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks XI Jinping personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 for a high-stakes bilateral summit with Xi Jinping has anchored trader consensus at 96.5% for no public insult this week, reflecting his recent praise of Xi as a "great gentleman," "intelligent man," and leader with whom he maintains a "great relationship" despite policy frictions on trade, Taiwan, and the Iran conflict. Amid red-carpet diplomacy—including planned tête-à-têtes on AI, fentanyl, and Strait of Hormuz access—no insults have materialized, aligning with historical patterns of personal rapport during summits. Realistic shifts could arise from summit breakdowns, leaked concessions, or post-meeting Truth Social posts amid escalation signals, though traders price such risks as minimal given the ongoing de-escalation focus.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks XI Jinping personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$60,972
Data di fine
22 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks XI Jinping personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Domande frequenti

"Trump insulterà Xi questa settimana?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Trump insulterà Xi questa settimana?" a 4%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 4¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 4% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Trump insulterà Xi questa settimana?" ha generato $61K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 11, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Trump insulterà Xi questa settimana?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

Questo è un mercato molto aperto. L'attuale leader per "Trump insulterà Xi questa settimana?" è "Trump insulterà Xi questa settimana?" a solo 4%. Con nessun esito che detiene una forte maggioranza, i trader vedono questo come altamente incerto, il che può presentare opportunità di trading uniche. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale, quindi aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per vedere come si evolvono le probabilità.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Trump insulterà Xi questa settimana?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.