**Trump has not issued a pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell despite repeated opportunities to comment, and several institutional signals point against one occurring by December 31, 2026.** The former president has described himself as open to reviewing the case or speaking with the Department of Justice but has consistently stated he has not thought about it or received a formal request. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche, a Trump appointee, told Congress in May 2026 that he would not recommend clemency. In late July 2026, the Senate passed a unanimous resolution opposing any pardon or commutation for Maxwell’s federal sex-trafficking conviction. Maxwell’s legal team continues to pursue clemency and has offered testimony in exchange, yet no White House action has followed these overtures. With roughly four months remaining before the market resolves and no affirmative steps taken amid bipartisan pushback, traders assign only a low single-digit probability to a pardon materializing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
7% probabilità
$745,270 Vol.
$745,270 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Sì
7% probabilità
$745,270 Vol.
$745,270 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Trump has not issued a pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell despite repeated opportunities to comment, and several institutional signals point against one occurring by December 31, 2026.** The former president has described himself as open to reviewing the case or speaking with the Department of Justice but has consistently stated he has not thought about it or received a formal request. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche, a Trump appointee, told Congress in May 2026 that he would not recommend clemency. In late July 2026, the Senate passed a unanimous resolution opposing any pardon or commutation for Maxwell’s federal sex-trafficking conviction. Maxwell’s legal team continues to pursue clemency and has offered testimony in exchange, yet no White House action has followed these overtures. With roughly four months remaining before the market resolves and no affirmative steps taken amid bipartisan pushback, traders assign only a low single-digit probability to a pardon materializing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
Volume
$745,270Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Trump has not issued a pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell despite repeated opportunities to comment, and several institutional signals point against one occurring by December 31, 2026.** The former president has described himself as open to reviewing the case or speaking with the Department of Justice but has consistently stated he has not thought about it or received a formal request. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche, a Trump appointee, told Congress in May 2026 that he would not recommend clemency. In late July 2026, the Senate passed a unanimous resolution opposing any pardon or commutation for Maxwell’s federal sex-trafficking conviction. Maxwell’s legal team continues to pursue clemency and has offered testimony in exchange, yet no White House action has followed these overtures. With roughly four months remaining before the market resolves and no affirmative steps taken amid bipartisan pushback, traders assign only a low single-digit probability to a pardon materializing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$745,270Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...**Trump has not issued a pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell despite repeated opportunities to comment, and several institutional signals point against one occurring by December 31, 2026.** The former president has described himself as open to reviewing the case or speaking with the Department of Justice but has consistently stated he has not thought about it or received a formal request. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche, a Trump appointee, told Congress in May 2026 that he would not recommend clemency. In late July 2026, the Senate passed a unanimous resolution opposing any pardon or commutation for Maxwell’s federal sex-trafficking conviction. Maxwell’s legal team continues to pursue clemency and has offered testimony in exchange, yet no White House action has followed these overtures. With roughly four months remaining before the market resolves and no affirmative steps taken amid bipartisan pushback, traders assign only a low single-digit probability to a pardon materializing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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