US military intervention in Venezuela earlier in 2026 led to the capture of Nicolás Maduro and significant American influence over oil policy, finances, and foreign affairs through the interim government, yet produced no formal annexation process or congressional measures toward statehood. Venezuela retains sovereign status as a separate nation, with reestablished diplomatic ties focused on stability and economic recovery rather than territorial incorporation. Adding a new state requires specific constitutional steps, including congressional approval and local consent, none of which have advanced amid ongoing governance pressures. Traders reflect this structural reality in the near-certain consensus on no annexation by year-end, though abrupt policy reversals or unforeseen diplomatic shifts remain remote possibilities that could alter the trajectory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl Venezuela diventerà il 51° stato?
Il Venezuela diventerà il 51° stato?
Sì
2% probabilità
$392,568 Vol.
$392,568 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
2% probabilità
$392,568 Vol.
$392,568 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US military intervention in Venezuela earlier in 2026 led to the capture of Nicolás Maduro and significant American influence over oil policy, finances, and foreign affairs through the interim government, yet produced no formal annexation process or congressional measures toward statehood. Venezuela retains sovereign status as a separate nation, with reestablished diplomatic ties focused on stability and economic recovery rather than territorial incorporation. Adding a new state requires specific constitutional steps, including congressional approval and local consent, none of which have advanced amid ongoing governance pressures. Traders reflect this structural reality in the near-certain consensus on no annexation by year-end, though abrupt policy reversals or unforeseen diplomatic shifts remain remote possibilities that could alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
Volume
$392,568Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US military intervention in Venezuela earlier in 2026 led to the capture of Nicolás Maduro and significant American influence over oil policy, finances, and foreign affairs through the interim government, yet produced no formal annexation process or congressional measures toward statehood. Venezuela retains sovereign status as a separate nation, with reestablished diplomatic ties focused on stability and economic recovery rather than territorial incorporation. Adding a new state requires specific constitutional steps, including congressional approval and local consent, none of which have advanced amid ongoing governance pressures. Traders reflect this structural reality in the near-certain consensus on no annexation by year-end, though abrupt policy reversals or unforeseen diplomatic shifts remain remote possibilities that could alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$392,568Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military intervention in Venezuela earlier in 2026 led to the capture of Nicolás Maduro and significant American influence over oil policy, finances, and foreign affairs through the interim government, yet produced no formal annexation process or congressional measures toward statehood. Venezuela retains sovereign status as a separate nation, with reestablished diplomatic ties focused on stability and economic recovery rather than territorial incorporation. Adding a new state requires specific constitutional steps, including congressional approval and local consent, none of which have advanced amid ongoing governance pressures. Traders reflect this structural reality in the near-certain consensus on no annexation by year-end, though abrupt policy reversals or unforeseen diplomatic shifts remain remote possibilities that could alter the trajectory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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