Geopolitical tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz and U.S.-Iran diplomatic negotiations have emerged as the dominant driver of WTI crude oil price action during the week of August 10, 2026. Uncertainty over potential reopening of the waterway—through which roughly 20% of global oil shipments transit—fueled a sharp 5% rally in WTI futures on August 10, lifting prices to approximately $82 per barrel after an earlier drop toward $77 amid hopes for de-escalation. Persistent supply risks from Red Sea incidents and elevated risk premiums have supported near-term levels near recent highs, while EIA projections place Q3 2026 Brent averages around $85 amid inventory draws. Traders are monitoring upcoming U.S. inflation data and any Hormuz-related announcements for further shifts in implied volatility and futures positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$52,010 Vol.
↑ $110
No
↑ $105
No
↑ $100
No
↑ $95
No
↑ $90
No
↑ $85
No
↑ $80
Sì
↓ $75
No
↓ $70
No
↓ $65
No
↓ $60
No
↓ $55
No
↓ $50
No
↓ $45
No
$52,010 Vol.
↑ $110
No
↑ $105
No
↑ $100
No
↑ $95
No
↑ $90
No
↑ $85
No
↑ $80
Sì
↓ $75
No
↓ $70
No
↓ $65
No
↓ $60
No
↓ $55
No
↓ $50
No
↓ $45
No
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Geopolitical tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz and U.S.-Iran diplomatic negotiations have emerged as the dominant driver of WTI crude oil price action during the week of August 10, 2026. Uncertainty over potential reopening of the waterway—through which roughly 20% of global oil shipments transit—fueled a sharp 5% rally in WTI futures on August 10, lifting prices to approximately $82 per barrel after an earlier drop toward $77 amid hopes for de-escalation. Persistent supply risks from Red Sea incidents and elevated risk premiums have supported near-term levels near recent highs, while EIA projections place Q3 2026 Brent averages around $85 amid inventory draws. Traders are monitoring upcoming U.S. inflation data and any Hormuz-related announcements for further shifts in implied volatility and futures positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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