Recent hawkish signals from Bank of Korea officials have narrowed the gap between hold and hike probabilities for the July policy meeting. Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai noted in early May that growth is unlikely to fall much below 2.0 percent while inflation is tracking above prior forecasts, prompting markets to price a 42 percent implied probability of a rate increase from the current 2.5 percent level. April CPI rose to 2.2 percent amid elevated global oil prices linked to Middle East tensions, and first-quarter GDP exceeded expectations on semiconductor strength. Traders now see the May 28 meeting as a potential pivot point for forward guidance ahead of the July decision, with no-change odds holding a slim 55 percent edge reflecting caution over currency volatility and external risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日据え置き 56%
引き上げ 34%
引き下げ 1.4%
$13,396 Vol.
$13,396 Vol.
引き下げ
1%
据え置き
56%
引き上げ
42%
据え置き 56%
引き上げ 34%
引き下げ 1.4%
$13,396 Vol.
$13,396 Vol.
引き下げ
1%
据え置き
56%
引き上げ
42%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent hawkish signals from Bank of Korea officials have narrowed the gap between hold and hike probabilities for the July policy meeting. Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai noted in early May that growth is unlikely to fall much below 2.0 percent while inflation is tracking above prior forecasts, prompting markets to price a 42 percent implied probability of a rate increase from the current 2.5 percent level. April CPI rose to 2.2 percent amid elevated global oil prices linked to Middle East tensions, and first-quarter GDP exceeded expectations on semiconductor strength. Traders now see the May 28 meeting as a potential pivot point for forward guidance ahead of the July decision, with no-change odds holding a slim 55 percent edge reflecting caution over currency volatility and external risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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