Former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 conviction for insurrection over the 2024 martial law declaration, which carried a life sentence. Additional lower-court rulings, including a June 2026 term of 30 years on separate charges and a July Supreme Court affirmation of a seven-year sentence in one martial-law-related case, have reinforced his detention status. Appeals processes for the life sentence and other convictions continue without any confirmed release orders or successful bail motions as of mid-August 2026. South Korea’s judicial handling of high-profile rebellion cases, combined with the severity of the penalties and multiple overlapping trials, has produced strong trader consensus that early release before 2027 is unlikely absent extraordinary executive intervention such as a pardon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
6% 確率
$183,874 Vol.
$183,874 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
6% 確率
$183,874 Vol.
$183,874 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 conviction for insurrection over the 2024 martial law declaration, which carried a life sentence. Additional lower-court rulings, including a June 2026 term of 30 years on separate charges and a July Supreme Court affirmation of a seven-year sentence in one martial-law-related case, have reinforced his detention status. Appeals processes for the life sentence and other convictions continue without any confirmed release orders or successful bail motions as of mid-August 2026. South Korea’s judicial handling of high-profile rebellion cases, combined with the severity of the penalties and multiple overlapping trials, has produced strong trader consensus that early release before 2027 is unlikely absent extraordinary executive intervention such as a pardon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
音量
$183,874終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 conviction for insurrection over the 2024 martial law declaration, which carried a life sentence. Additional lower-court rulings, including a June 2026 term of 30 years on separate charges and a July Supreme Court affirmation of a seven-year sentence in one martial-law-related case, have reinforced his detention status. Appeals processes for the life sentence and other convictions continue without any confirmed release orders or successful bail motions as of mid-August 2026. South Korea’s judicial handling of high-profile rebellion cases, combined with the severity of the penalties and multiple overlapping trials, has produced strong trader consensus that early release before 2027 is unlikely absent extraordinary executive intervention such as a pardon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$183,874終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 conviction for insurrection over the 2024 martial law declaration, which carried a life sentence. Additional lower-court rulings, including a June 2026 term of 30 years on separate charges and a July Supreme Court affirmation of a seven-year sentence in one martial-law-related case, have reinforced his detention status. Appeals processes for the life sentence and other convictions continue without any confirmed release orders or successful bail motions as of mid-August 2026. South Korea’s judicial handling of high-profile rebellion cases, combined with the severity of the penalties and multiple overlapping trials, has produced strong trader consensus that early release before 2027 is unlikely absent extraordinary executive intervention such as a pardon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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