South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at the Seoul Detention Centre following his February 2026 conviction for insurrection tied to the 2024 martial law declaration, which resulted in a life sentence. The Seoul Central District Court’s ruling has been appealed, while the Supreme Court has upheld related convictions, including a seven-year term in July 2026. Multiple additional cases continue through lower courts, with detention warrants repeatedly extended since his initial arrest. These ongoing proceedings and the severity of the primary conviction create significant procedural and legal barriers to release before the end of 2026. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.6% probability for “No” aligns with the timeline required for appeals, further trials, and any potential sentence reductions or suspensions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
7% 確率
$182,284 Vol.
$182,284 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
7% 確率
$182,284 Vol.
$182,284 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at the Seoul Detention Centre following his February 2026 conviction for insurrection tied to the 2024 martial law declaration, which resulted in a life sentence. The Seoul Central District Court’s ruling has been appealed, while the Supreme Court has upheld related convictions, including a seven-year term in July 2026. Multiple additional cases continue through lower courts, with detention warrants repeatedly extended since his initial arrest. These ongoing proceedings and the severity of the primary conviction create significant procedural and legal barriers to release before the end of 2026. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.6% probability for “No” aligns with the timeline required for appeals, further trials, and any potential sentence reductions or suspensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
音量
$182,284終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at the Seoul Detention Centre following his February 2026 conviction for insurrection tied to the 2024 martial law declaration, which resulted in a life sentence. The Seoul Central District Court’s ruling has been appealed, while the Supreme Court has upheld related convictions, including a seven-year term in July 2026. Multiple additional cases continue through lower courts, with detention warrants repeatedly extended since his initial arrest. These ongoing proceedings and the severity of the primary conviction create significant procedural and legal barriers to release before the end of 2026. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.6% probability for “No” aligns with the timeline required for appeals, further trials, and any potential sentence reductions or suspensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$182,284終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at the Seoul Detention Centre following his February 2026 conviction for insurrection tied to the 2024 martial law declaration, which resulted in a life sentence. The Seoul Central District Court’s ruling has been appealed, while the Supreme Court has upheld related convictions, including a seven-year term in July 2026. Multiple additional cases continue through lower courts, with detention warrants repeatedly extended since his initial arrest. These ongoing proceedings and the severity of the primary conviction create significant procedural and legal barriers to release before the end of 2026. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.6% probability for “No” aligns with the timeline required for appeals, further trials, and any potential sentence reductions or suspensions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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