Skip to main content
icon for イ・ジェミョンは2027年以前に弾劾されましたか？
政治·韓国

イ・ジェミョンは2027年以前に弾劾されましたか？

icon for イ・ジェミョンは2027年以前に弾劾されましたか？
政治·韓国

イ・ジェミョンは2027年以前に弾劾されましたか？

12月 31

12月 31

はい

9% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

9% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party holds a commanding majority in the National Assembly, requiring a two-thirds supermajority for any impeachment motion that has shown no signs of gaining traction across party lines. The February 2026 conviction of predecessor Yoon Suk-yeol on insurrection charges further strengthened Lee's political standing by validating the prior removal process and his June 2025 election victory. With local elections scheduled for June 2026 expected to expand the ruling party's advantages amid conservative disarray, no legislative initiatives, procedural votes, or major scandals have surfaced to alter the low probability of formal proceedings before 2027. Trader consensus reflects these structural and recent institutional barriers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
音量
$9,155
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party holds a commanding majority in the National Assembly, requiring a two-thirds supermajority for any impeachment motion that has shown no signs of gaining traction across party lines. The February 2026 conviction of predecessor Yoon Suk-yeol on insurrection charges further strengthened Lee's political standing by validating the prior removal process and his June 2025 election victory. With local elections scheduled for June 2026 expected to expand the ruling party's advantages amid conservative disarray, no legislative initiatives, procedural votes, or major scandals have surfaced to alter the low probability of formal proceedings before 2027. Trader consensus reflects these structural and recent institutional barriers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
音量
$9,155
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イ・ジェミョンは2027年以前に弾劾されましたか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「イ・ジェミョンは2027年までに弾劾されるか？」で9%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、9¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に9%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「イ・ジェミョンは2027年以前に弾劾されましたか？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Nov 5, 2025開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「イ・ジェミョンは2027年以前に弾劾されましたか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「イ・ジェミョンは2027年以前に弾劾されましたか？」の現在のリーダーは「イ・ジェミョンは2027年までに弾劾されるか？」でわずか9%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イ・ジェミョンは2027年以前に弾劾されましたか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。