Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 500–700 posts for Elon Musk's May 2026 X activity, reflecting his recent dip to an average of 17 non-reply posts per day—down from earlier highs—as seen in resolved submarkets like May 5–12 (under 120) and ongoing trackers showing ~222 total through May 13. This pace projects ~530 for the full month, but competitive dynamics hinge on volatility: event-driven spikes from culture war commentary (e.g., recent Hollywood casting critiques on Nolan's The Odyssey) and political takes could push toward 600+, while his Air Force One trip to Beijing with Trump (May 13–15) introduces uncertainty over travel disruptions or heightened engagement. Daily fluctuations and reply exclusions amplify swings, with no clear frontrunner amid skin-in-the-game bets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日560～579 7.4%
600〜619 7.3%
540〜559 7.0%
520〜539 6.9%
$2,161,818 Vol.
$2,161,818 Vol.
160～179
<1%
180～199
<1%
200〜219
<1%
220～239
<1%
240～259
<1%
260～279
<1%
280～299
<1%
300〜319
<1%
320〜339
<1%
340～359
<1%
360〜379
<1%
380～399
1%
400〜419
1%
420～439
1%
440～459
3%
460〜479
3%
480～499
4%
500〜519
6%
520〜539
7%
540〜559
7%
560～579
7%
580～599
7%
600〜619
7%
620〜639
6%
640〜659
7%
660〜679
7%
680～699
5%
700〜719
4%
720〜739
3%
740〜759
3%
760〜779
2%
780〜799
2%
800〜839
2%
840～879
2%
880～919
2%
920〜959
1%
960～999
<1%
1000〜1039
<1%
1040〜1079
<1%
1080～1119
<1%
1120〜1159
<1%
1160～1199
<1%
1200～1239
<1%
1240～1279
<1%
1280〜1319
<1%
1320〜1359
<1%
1360〜1399
<1%
1400〜1439
<1%
1440～1479
<1%
1480～1519
<1%
1520〜1559
<1%
1560〜1599
<1%
1600〜1679
<1%
1680〜1759
<1%
1760〜1839
<1%
1840〜1919
<1%
1920～1999
<1%
2000件以上
<1%
560～579 7.4%
600〜619 7.3%
540〜559 7.0%
520〜539 6.9%
$2,161,818 Vol.
$2,161,818 Vol.
160～179
<1%
180～199
<1%
200〜219
<1%
220～239
<1%
240～259
<1%
260～279
<1%
280～299
<1%
300〜319
<1%
320〜339
<1%
340～359
<1%
360〜379
<1%
380～399
1%
400〜419
1%
420～439
1%
440～459
3%
460〜479
3%
480～499
4%
500〜519
6%
520〜539
7%
540〜559
7%
560～579
7%
580～599
7%
600〜619
7%
620〜639
6%
640〜659
7%
660〜679
7%
680～699
5%
700〜719
4%
720〜739
3%
740〜759
3%
760〜779
2%
780〜799
2%
800〜839
2%
840～879
2%
880～919
2%
920〜959
1%
960～999
<1%
1000〜1039
<1%
1040〜1079
<1%
1080～1119
<1%
1120〜1159
<1%
1160～1199
<1%
1200～1239
<1%
1240～1279
<1%
1280〜1319
<1%
1320〜1359
<1%
1360〜1399
<1%
1400〜1439
<1%
1440～1479
<1%
1480～1519
<1%
1520〜1559
<1%
1560〜1599
<1%
1600〜1679
<1%
1680〜1759
<1%
1760〜1839
<1%
1840〜1919
<1%
1920～1999
<1%
2000件以上
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 500–700 posts for Elon Musk's May 2026 X activity, reflecting his recent dip to an average of 17 non-reply posts per day—down from earlier highs—as seen in resolved submarkets like May 5–12 (under 120) and ongoing trackers showing ~222 total through May 13. This pace projects ~530 for the full month, but competitive dynamics hinge on volatility: event-driven spikes from culture war commentary (e.g., recent Hollywood casting critiques on Nolan's The Odyssey) and political takes could push toward 600+, while his Air Force One trip to Beijing with Trump (May 13–15) introduces uncertainty over travel disruptions or heightened engagement. Daily fluctuations and reply exclusions amplify swings, with no clear frontrunner amid skin-in-the-game bets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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