The tight clustering of implied probabilities around the $2.25–$2.75 range captures trader consensus on H100 rental stabilization, driven by intensifying competition among neocloud providers like Vast.ai and Thunder Compute offering spot rates near $2.19–$2.74 per hour alongside sustained AI training demand. Recent indices confirm neo-cloud pricing near $2.74 with hyperscaler premiums persisting, while the Blackwell B200 ramp shifts H100 toward mid-tier status and adds supply from new data-center builds. This creates balanced downward momentum tempered by high utilization in large language model workloads. October resolution hinges on final capacity additions and any enterprise commitments that could push averages within the narrow band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$2.50~$2.75 28%
$2.25〜$2.50 26%
$2.75~$3.00 23%
$2.00~$2.25 11.8%
$2.00未満
5%
$2.00~$2.25
12%
$2.25〜$2.50
26%
$2.50~$2.75
28%
$2.75~$3.00
23%
$3.00以上
11%
$2.50~$2.75 28%
$2.25〜$2.50 26%
$2.75~$3.00 23%
$2.00~$2.25 11.8%
$2.00未満
5%
$2.00~$2.25
12%
$2.25〜$2.50
26%
$2.50~$2.75
28%
$2.75~$3.00
23%
$3.00以上
11%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of implied probabilities around the $2.25–$2.75 range captures trader consensus on H100 rental stabilization, driven by intensifying competition among neocloud providers like Vast.ai and Thunder Compute offering spot rates near $2.19–$2.74 per hour alongside sustained AI training demand. Recent indices confirm neo-cloud pricing near $2.74 with hyperscaler premiums persisting, while the Blackwell B200 ramp shifts H100 toward mid-tier status and adds supply from new data-center builds. This creates balanced downward momentum tempered by high utilization in large language model workloads. October resolution hinges on final capacity additions and any enterprise commitments that could push averages within the narrow band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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