Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs for Ankara center daily maximum temperatures near 31–33°C on July 13, with tight spread reflecting stable high-pressure influence over the Anatolian plateau and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C, as traders weigh model agreement against typical July climatology of 29–32°C highs and local factors such as diurnal heating rates and boundary-layer mixing. Minor divergences in wind direction or timing of any subtle trough could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while official Turkish Meteorological Service observations will resolve the exact value. Updated model cycles over the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月13日のアンカラの最高気温は?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$50,225 Vol.
$50,225 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$50,225 Vol.
$50,225 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs for Ankara center daily maximum temperatures near 31–33°C on July 13, with tight spread reflecting stable high-pressure influence over the Anatolian plateau and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C, as traders weigh model agreement against typical July climatology of 29–32°C highs and local factors such as diurnal heating rates and boundary-layer mixing. Minor divergences in wind direction or timing of any subtle trough could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while official Turkish Meteorological Service observations will resolve the exact value. Updated model cycles over the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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