The latest National Weather Service forecast for Denver points to a high near 93°F on August 23 under mostly sunny morning conditions shifting to scattered afternoon thunderstorms, establishing the primary driver behind the 42% market-implied probability for the 92-93°F bin and 34% for 90-91°F. Late-summer monsoon moisture and weak steering flow introduce timing uncertainty, as earlier or stronger convection could cap temperatures in the low 90s while delayed storms allow brief warming toward 94-95°F. Historical August climatology shows typical highs around 85-90°F with occasional spikes above 95°F, but current model consensus favors moderation from cloud cover and precipitation. Traders weigh these variables against potential model updates or observational shifts through the overnight period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のデンバーの最高気温は?
92〜93°F 42%
90〜91°F 35%
88〜89°F 17%
84〜85°F 8%
79°F以下
<1%
80〜81°F
1%
82~83°F
1%
84〜85°F
8%
86~87°F
8%
88〜89°F
17%
90〜91°F
35%
92〜93°F
38%
94~95°F
8%
96〜97°F
7%
98°F以上
5%
92〜93°F 42%
90〜91°F 35%
88〜89°F 17%
84〜85°F 8%
79°F以下
<1%
80〜81°F
1%
82~83°F
1%
84〜85°F
8%
86~87°F
8%
88〜89°F
17%
90〜91°F
35%
92〜93°F
38%
94~95°F
8%
96〜97°F
7%
98°F以上
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The latest National Weather Service forecast for Denver points to a high near 93°F on August 23 under mostly sunny morning conditions shifting to scattered afternoon thunderstorms, establishing the primary driver behind the 42% market-implied probability for the 92-93°F bin and 34% for 90-91°F. Late-summer monsoon moisture and weak steering flow introduce timing uncertainty, as earlier or stronger convection could cap temperatures in the low 90s while delayed storms allow brief warming toward 94-95°F. Historical August climatology shows typical highs around 85-90°F with occasional spikes above 95°F, but current model consensus favors moderation from cloud cover and precipitation. Traders weigh these variables against potential model updates or observational shifts through the overnight period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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