Recent rainfall and cloud cover associated with a passing weather system represent the dominant driver of market-implied odds for Guangzhou’s September 4 high temperature, favoring 28°C or 29°C. Official and ensemble forecasts indicate moderate rain transitioning to thunderstorms, which reduces insolation and caps daytime heating below the early-September climatological average of roughly 32–33°C. Surface observations show northwest flow and elevated humidity supporting cloud persistence, while model guidance diverges modestly on rainfall timing and intensity—factors that determine whether peak readings reach the upper 20s or low 30s. Traders appear to weight these dynamical influences more heavily than seasonal norms, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational maximum reported by local meteorological authorities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日の広州の最高気温は？
9月4日の広州の最高気温は？
28℃ 31%
29℃ 22%
27℃ 17%
30℃ 15%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
23℃以下
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
3%
26℃
6%
27℃
17%
28℃
31%
29℃
22%
30℃
15%
31℃
4%
32°C
2%
33℃以上
<1%
28℃ 31%
29℃ 22%
27℃ 17%
30℃ 15%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
23℃以下
$70 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$487 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$367 Vol.
3%
26℃
$1,070 Vol.
6%
27℃
$829 Vol.
17%
28℃
$1,363 Vol.
31%
29℃
$1,212 Vol.
22%
30℃
$966 Vol.
15%
31℃
$738 Vol.
4%
32°C
$252 Vol.
2%
33℃以上
$21 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and cloud cover associated with a passing weather system represent the dominant driver of market-implied odds for Guangzhou’s September 4 high temperature, favoring 28°C or 29°C. Official and ensemble forecasts indicate moderate rain transitioning to thunderstorms, which reduces insolation and caps daytime heating below the early-September climatological average of roughly 32–33°C. Surface observations show northwest flow and elevated humidity supporting cloud persistence, while model guidance diverges modestly on rainfall timing and intensity—factors that determine whether peak readings reach the upper 20s or low 30s. Traders appear to weight these dynamical influences more heavily than seasonal norms, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational maximum reported by local meteorological authorities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$7,375終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and cloud cover associated with a passing weather system represent the dominant driver of market-implied odds for Guangzhou’s September 4 high temperature, favoring 28°C or 29°C. Official and ensemble forecasts indicate moderate rain transitioning to thunderstorms, which reduces insolation and caps daytime heating below the early-September climatological average of roughly 32–33°C. Surface observations show northwest flow and elevated humidity supporting cloud persistence, while model guidance diverges modestly on rainfall timing and intensity—factors that determine whether peak readings reach the upper 20s or low 30s. Traders appear to weight these dynamical influences more heavily than seasonal norms, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational maximum reported by local meteorological authorities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$7,375終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent rainfall and cloud cover associated with a passing weather system represent the dominant driver of market-implied odds for Guangzhou’s September 4 high temperature, favoring 28°C or 29°C. Official and ensemble forecasts indicate moderate rain transitioning to thunderstorms, which reduces insolation and caps daytime heating below the early-September climatological average of roughly 32–33°C. Surface observations show northwest flow and elevated humidity supporting cloud persistence, while model guidance diverges modestly on rainfall timing and intensity—factors that determine whether peak readings reach the upper 20s or low 30s. Traders appear to weight these dynamical influences more heavily than seasonal norms, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational maximum reported by local meteorological authorities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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