Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northeast winds of 3–4 levels for Qingdao on September 5, supporting a daily maximum near 28–30°C. Recent days have featured similar clear, stable high-pressure setups yielding highs of 29–30°C, and minimal model spread or incoming frontal activity keeps probabilities tightly clustered between 30°C and 31°C. Key differentiators include exact timing of peak insolation, local measurement site calibration at the official station, and minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or humidity around 50–60 percent that could nudge the observed high by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh the slight warm bias from ongoing late-summer conditions against the moderating maritime influence typical for the region in early September.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日の青島の最高気温は?
31℃ 42%
30℃ 35%
32℃ 13%
29°C 9%
25℃以下
1%
26°C
1%
27℃
2%
28℃
3%
29°C
9%
30℃
35%
31℃
42%
32℃
13%
33℃
4%
34℃
1%
35℃以上
<1%
31℃ 42%
30℃ 35%
32℃ 13%
29°C 9%
25℃以下
1%
26°C
1%
27℃
2%
28℃
3%
29°C
9%
30℃
35%
31℃
42%
32℃
13%
33℃
4%
34℃
1%
35℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northeast winds of 3–4 levels for Qingdao on September 5, supporting a daily maximum near 28–30°C. Recent days have featured similar clear, stable high-pressure setups yielding highs of 29–30°C, and minimal model spread or incoming frontal activity keeps probabilities tightly clustered between 30°C and 31°C. Key differentiators include exact timing of peak insolation, local measurement site calibration at the official station, and minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or humidity around 50–60 percent that could nudge the observed high by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh the slight warm bias from ongoing late-summer conditions against the moderating maritime influence typical for the region in early September.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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