**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a maximum temperature in Paris on September 4, 2026, most likely in the 27–29°C range under stable high-pressure conditions, light-to-moderate westerly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 28°C (43.5%) and 29°C (29.0%), as ensemble model outputs and agency guidance consistently project afternoon highs near or slightly above seasonal norms (typical early-September Paris maxima around 22–25°C). Key drivers include persistent anticyclonic flow suppressing cloud build-up and allowing strong diurnal heating, with minimal steering influences from Atlantic systems. Recent model runs through September 2 show little variance, supporting trader consensus around these central outcomes while assigning lower odds to outliers like 30°C+ or sub-27°C values due to the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance. Updated runs closer to the date will refine exact maxima and any minor wind or cloud adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日のパリの最高気温は？
9月4日のパリの最高気温は？
28°C 44%
29℃ 32%
27°C 14%
30°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
24℃以下
1%
25℃
1%
26℃
3%
27°C
14%
28°C
44%
29℃
32%
30°C
10%
31℃
3%
32°C
2%
33℃
1%
34℃以上
<1%
28°C 44%
29℃ 32%
27°C 14%
30°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
24℃以下
$159 Vol.
1%
25℃
$125 Vol.
1%
26℃
$208 Vol.
3%
27°C
$548 Vol.
14%
28°C
$322 Vol.
44%
29℃
$938 Vol.
32%
30°C
$126 Vol.
10%
31℃
$187 Vol.
3%
32°C
$518 Vol.
2%
33℃
$0 Vol.
1%
34℃以上
$526 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a maximum temperature in Paris on September 4, 2026, most likely in the 27–29°C range under stable high-pressure conditions, light-to-moderate westerly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk.**
This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 28°C (43.5%) and 29°C (29.0%), as ensemble model outputs and agency guidance consistently project afternoon highs near or slightly above seasonal norms (typical early-September Paris maxima around 22–25°C). Key drivers include persistent anticyclonic flow suppressing cloud build-up and allowing strong diurnal heating, with minimal steering influences from Atlantic systems. Recent model runs through September 2 show little variance, supporting trader consensus around these central outcomes while assigning lower odds to outliers like 30°C+ or sub-27°C values due to the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance. Updated runs closer to the date will refine exact maxima and any minor wind or cloud adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
音量
$3,659終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a maximum temperature in Paris on September 4, 2026, most likely in the 27–29°C range under stable high-pressure conditions, light-to-moderate westerly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk.**
This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 28°C (43.5%) and 29°C (29.0%), as ensemble model outputs and agency guidance consistently project afternoon highs near or slightly above seasonal norms (typical early-September Paris maxima around 22–25°C). Key drivers include persistent anticyclonic flow suppressing cloud build-up and allowing strong diurnal heating, with minimal steering influences from Atlantic systems. Recent model runs through September 2 show little variance, supporting trader consensus around these central outcomes while assigning lower odds to outliers like 30°C+ or sub-27°C values due to the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance. Updated runs closer to the date will refine exact maxima and any minor wind or cloud adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,659終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a maximum temperature in Paris on September 4, 2026, most likely in the 27–29°C range under stable high-pressure conditions, light-to-moderate westerly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 28°C (43.5%) and 29°C (29.0%), as ensemble model outputs and agency guidance consistently project afternoon highs near or slightly above seasonal norms (typical early-September Paris maxima around 22–25°C). Key drivers include persistent anticyclonic flow suppressing cloud build-up and allowing strong diurnal heating, with minimal steering influences from Atlantic systems. Recent model runs through September 2 show little variance, supporting trader consensus around these central outcomes while assigning lower odds to outliers like 30°C+ or sub-27°C values due to the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance. Updated runs closer to the date will refine exact maxima and any minor wind or cloud adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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