Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts indicate a typical early-September marine layer pattern for Los Angeles, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to partial afternoon clearing under southwest winds around 15 mph. This setup supports daily highs near the long-term September 4 average of 76.7°F, positioning the 76-77°F bin as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability. Nearby bins at 78-79°F (31.5%) and 74-75°F (9%) capture the narrow uncertainty range across downtown versus coastal stations, while higher outcomes like 80-81°F remain low-probability given the absence of offshore flow or ridging that would drive greater warming. Updated guidance through September 2 reinforces this stable regime with no significant shifts expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は？
9月4日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は？
76〜77°F 56%
78～79°F 31%
74〜75°F 9%
80～81°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
65°F以下
<1%
66～67°F
2%
68～69°F
2%
70～71°F
2%
72～73°F
2%
74〜75°F
9%
76〜77°F
56%
78～79°F
31%
80～81°F
7%
82〜83°F
2%
華氏84度以上
2%
76〜77°F 56%
78～79°F 31%
74〜75°F 9%
80～81°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
65°F以下
$107 Vol.
<1%
66～67°F
$0 Vol.
2%
68～69°F
$100 Vol.
2%
70～71°F
$82 Vol.
2%
72～73°F
$60 Vol.
2%
74〜75°F
$351 Vol.
9%
76〜77°F
$2,431 Vol.
56%
78～79°F
$452 Vol.
31%
80～81°F
$161 Vol.
7%
82〜83°F
$77 Vol.
2%
華氏84度以上
$92 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts indicate a typical early-September marine layer pattern for Los Angeles, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to partial afternoon clearing under southwest winds around 15 mph. This setup supports daily highs near the long-term September 4 average of 76.7°F, positioning the 76-77°F bin as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability. Nearby bins at 78-79°F (31.5%) and 74-75°F (9%) capture the narrow uncertainty range across downtown versus coastal stations, while higher outcomes like 80-81°F remain low-probability given the absence of offshore flow or ridging that would drive greater warming. Updated guidance through September 2 reinforces this stable regime with no significant shifts expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
音量
$3,912終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts indicate a typical early-September marine layer pattern for Los Angeles, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to partial afternoon clearing under southwest winds around 15 mph. This setup supports daily highs near the long-term September 4 average of 76.7°F, positioning the 76-77°F bin as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability. Nearby bins at 78-79°F (31.5%) and 74-75°F (9%) capture the narrow uncertainty range across downtown versus coastal stations, while higher outcomes like 80-81°F remain low-probability given the absence of offshore flow or ridging that would drive greater warming. Updated guidance through September 2 reinforces this stable regime with no significant shifts expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,912終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts indicate a typical early-September marine layer pattern for Los Angeles, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to partial afternoon clearing under southwest winds around 15 mph. This setup supports daily highs near the long-term September 4 average of 76.7°F, positioning the 76-77°F bin as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability. Nearby bins at 78-79°F (31.5%) and 74-75°F (9%) capture the narrow uncertainty range across downtown versus coastal stations, while higher outcomes like 80-81°F remain low-probability given the absence of offshore flow or ridging that would drive greater warming. Updated guidance through September 2 reinforces this stable regime with no significant shifts expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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