**Latest ensemble and deterministic model guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and regional sources points to a daytime maximum of 28–30 °C in São Paulo on 4 September under partly cloudy skies and northwesterly flow.** Northwesterly winds are expected to advect warmer air ahead of an approaching frontal boundary, while limited cloud cover during peak heating hours supports temperatures several degrees above the early-September climatological average of ~23–25 °C. Most runs cluster the daily high near 29 °C, with a smaller subset reaching 30–31 °C if insolation is stronger or urban heat effects are pronounced; cooler outcomes near 27 °C would require greater cloud cover or earlier frontal passage than currently indicated. Traders have therefore assigned the highest implied probabilities to 28–30 °C, consistent with the narrow spread in the most recent model consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
9月4日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
29°C 42%
28℃ 26%
30℃ 21%
27℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
23℃以下
4%
24°C
4%
25℃
2%
26℃
3%
27℃
7%
28℃
26%
29°C
42%
30℃
21%
31℃
5%
32℃
2%
33°C以上
2%
29°C 42%
28℃ 26%
30℃ 21%
27℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
23℃以下
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
4%
25℃
$225 Vol.
2%
26℃
$97 Vol.
3%
27℃
$156 Vol.
7%
28℃
$127 Vol.
26%
29°C
$175 Vol.
42%
30℃
$306 Vol.
21%
31℃
$26 Vol.
5%
32℃
$0 Vol.
2%
33°C以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble and deterministic model guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and regional sources points to a daytime maximum of 28–30 °C in São Paulo on 4 September under partly cloudy skies and northwesterly flow.**
Northwesterly winds are expected to advect warmer air ahead of an approaching frontal boundary, while limited cloud cover during peak heating hours supports temperatures several degrees above the early-September climatological average of ~23–25 °C. Most runs cluster the daily high near 29 °C, with a smaller subset reaching 30–31 °C if insolation is stronger or urban heat effects are pronounced; cooler outcomes near 27 °C would require greater cloud cover or earlier frontal passage than currently indicated. Traders have therefore assigned the highest implied probabilities to 28–30 °C, consistent with the narrow spread in the most recent model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
音量
$1,112終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble and deterministic model guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and regional sources points to a daytime maximum of 28–30 °C in São Paulo on 4 September under partly cloudy skies and northwesterly flow.**
Northwesterly winds are expected to advect warmer air ahead of an approaching frontal boundary, while limited cloud cover during peak heating hours supports temperatures several degrees above the early-September climatological average of ~23–25 °C. Most runs cluster the daily high near 29 °C, with a smaller subset reaching 30–31 °C if insolation is stronger or urban heat effects are pronounced; cooler outcomes near 27 °C would require greater cloud cover or earlier frontal passage than currently indicated. Traders have therefore assigned the highest implied probabilities to 28–30 °C, consistent with the narrow spread in the most recent model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,112終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ET**Latest ensemble and deterministic model guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and regional sources points to a daytime maximum of 28–30 °C in São Paulo on 4 September under partly cloudy skies and northwesterly flow.** Northwesterly winds are expected to advect warmer air ahead of an approaching frontal boundary, while limited cloud cover during peak heating hours supports temperatures several degrees above the early-September climatological average of ~23–25 °C. Most runs cluster the daily high near 29 °C, with a smaller subset reaching 30–31 °C if insolation is stronger or urban heat effects are pronounced; cooler outcomes near 27 °C would require greater cloud cover or earlier frontal passage than currently indicated. Traders have therefore assigned the highest implied probabilities to 28–30 °C, consistent with the narrow spread in the most recent model consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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