**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models show Denver’s September 4 high temperature centered in the low 90s°F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly or easterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk.** This places the strongest market-implied odds on the 90–93 °F bins (combined ~65 %), consistent with point forecasts of 90–93 °F and daytime maxima near 3 p.m. local time when solar heating peaks. The projected values sit well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of ~83–84 °F for the date, reflecting a warmer-than-normal early-September pattern with downslope warming along the Front Range and limited cloud cover. Small differences among ensemble members—primarily in afternoon cloud fraction, exact wind direction, or boundary-layer mixing—account for the near-even split between the 90–91 °F and 92–93 °F outcomes and the secondary 24.5 % probability on 94–95 °F. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Denver International Airport; fresh model runs or NWS forecast updates over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could narrow or shift these tightly clustered probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日のデンバーの最高気温は？
9月4日のデンバーの最高気温は？
94～95°F 49%
92〜93°F 34%
90～91°F 32%
88～89°F 19%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
79°F以下
1%
80～81°F
6%
82〜83°F
6%
84〜85°F
7%
86～87°F
16%
88～89°F
19%
90～91°F
32%
92〜93°F
34%
94～95°F
49%
96～97°F
7%
98°F以上
7%
94～95°F 49%
92〜93°F 34%
90～91°F 32%
88～89°F 19%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
79°F以下
$0 Vol.
1%
80～81°F
$0 Vol.
6%
82〜83°F
$0 Vol.
6%
84〜85°F
$0 Vol.
7%
86～87°F
$0 Vol.
16%
88～89°F
$0 Vol.
19%
90～91°F
$0 Vol.
32%
92〜93°F
$0 Vol.
34%
94～95°F
$0 Vol.
49%
96～97°F
$0 Vol.
7%
98°F以上
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models show Denver’s September 4 high temperature centered in the low 90s°F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly or easterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk.** This places the strongest market-implied odds on the 90–93 °F bins (combined ~65 %), consistent with point forecasts of 90–93 °F and daytime maxima near 3 p.m. local time when solar heating peaks.
The projected values sit well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of ~83–84 °F for the date, reflecting a warmer-than-normal early-September pattern with downslope warming along the Front Range and limited cloud cover. Small differences among ensemble members—primarily in afternoon cloud fraction, exact wind direction, or boundary-layer mixing—account for the near-even split between the 90–91 °F and 92–93 °F outcomes and the secondary 24.5 % probability on 94–95 °F.
Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Denver International Airport; fresh model runs or NWS forecast updates over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could narrow or shift these tightly clustered probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models show Denver’s September 4 high temperature centered in the low 90s°F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly or easterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk.** This places the strongest market-implied odds on the 90–93 °F bins (combined ~65 %), consistent with point forecasts of 90–93 °F and daytime maxima near 3 p.m. local time when solar heating peaks.
The projected values sit well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of ~83–84 °F for the date, reflecting a warmer-than-normal early-September pattern with downslope warming along the Front Range and limited cloud cover. Small differences among ensemble members—primarily in afternoon cloud fraction, exact wind direction, or boundary-layer mixing—account for the near-even split between the 90–91 °F and 92–93 °F outcomes and the secondary 24.5 % probability on 94–95 °F.
Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Denver International Airport; fresh model runs or NWS forecast updates over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could narrow or shift these tightly clustered probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 3:56 AM ET**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models show Denver’s September 4 high temperature centered in the low 90s°F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly or easterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk.** This places the strongest market-implied odds on the 90–93 °F bins (combined ~65 %), consistent with point forecasts of 90–93 °F and daytime maxima near 3 p.m. local time when solar heating peaks. The projected values sit well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of ~83–84 °F for the date, reflecting a warmer-than-normal early-September pattern with downslope warming along the Front Range and limited cloud cover. Small differences among ensemble members—primarily in afternoon cloud fraction, exact wind direction, or boundary-layer mixing—account for the near-even split between the 90–91 °F and 92–93 °F outcomes and the secondary 24.5 % probability on 94–95 °F. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Denver International Airport; fresh model runs or NWS forecast updates over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could narrow or shift these tightly clustered probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問