Recent numerical weather model consensus points to mostly sunny skies and moderate northeast winds of 3–4 levels over Qingdao on September 4, supporting surface heating under clear conditions typical of early September climatology. Official outlooks from multiple sources converge on a daily maximum near 30 °C, with low humidity and light winds limiting evaporative cooling yet also capping extreme peaks. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 31–32 °C because small differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or slight wind shifts can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C; updated model runs and any last-minute observational adjustments from regional meteorological agencies will likely determine the final resolution within the narrow probability band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日の青島の最高気温は?
31℃ 38%
32℃ 32%
30℃ 16%
33°C 11%
26℃以下
1%
27°C
1%
28℃
3%
29℃
5%
30℃
16%
31℃
38%
32℃
32%
33°C
11%
34℃
4%
35℃
5%
36℃以上
4%
31℃ 38%
32℃ 32%
30℃ 16%
33°C 11%
26℃以下
1%
27°C
1%
28℃
3%
29℃
5%
30℃
16%
31℃
38%
32℃
32%
33°C
11%
34℃
4%
35℃
5%
36℃以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather model consensus points to mostly sunny skies and moderate northeast winds of 3–4 levels over Qingdao on September 4, supporting surface heating under clear conditions typical of early September climatology. Official outlooks from multiple sources converge on a daily maximum near 30 °C, with low humidity and light winds limiting evaporative cooling yet also capping extreme peaks. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 31–32 °C because small differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or slight wind shifts can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C; updated model runs and any last-minute observational adjustments from regional meteorological agencies will likely determine the final resolution within the narrow probability band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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