Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a Friday high near 67–70°F for San Francisco, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate west winds after early-week marine layer moisture and light drizzle clear. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 68–71°F bins, as the cold California Current and persistent onshore flow typically cap coastal highs near seasonal norms of about 70°F. Differentiation among closely matched outcomes hinges on subtle variables including exact marine layer depth, afternoon wind strength that can enhance or suppress warming, and microclimate effects at official measurement sites versus broader urban areas. Model consensus favors mild conditions without significant offshore flow or heat advection that would push readings into the mid-70s or higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
9月4日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
70～71°F 45%
68〜69°F 28%
72〜73°F 11%
華氏74～75度 9%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
61°F以下
1%
62～63°F
6%
64～65°F
8%
66〜67°F
7%
68〜69°F
30%
70～71°F
45%
72〜73°F
11%
華氏74～75度
9%
76〜77°F
5%
78～79°F
3%
80°F以上
3%
70～71°F 45%
68〜69°F 28%
72〜73°F 11%
華氏74～75度 9%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
61°F以下
$0 Vol.
1%
62～63°F
$0 Vol.
6%
64～65°F
$20 Vol.
8%
66〜67°F
$87 Vol.
7%
68〜69°F
$7 Vol.
30%
70～71°F
$29 Vol.
45%
72〜73°F
$60 Vol.
11%
華氏74～75度
$0 Vol.
9%
76〜77°F
$0 Vol.
5%
78～79°F
$0 Vol.
3%
80°F以上
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a Friday high near 67–70°F for San Francisco, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate west winds after early-week marine layer moisture and light drizzle clear. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 68–71°F bins, as the cold California Current and persistent onshore flow typically cap coastal highs near seasonal norms of about 70°F. Differentiation among closely matched outcomes hinges on subtle variables including exact marine layer depth, afternoon wind strength that can enhance or suppress warming, and microclimate effects at official measurement sites versus broader urban areas. Model consensus favors mild conditions without significant offshore flow or heat advection that would push readings into the mid-70s or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
音量
$203終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a Friday high near 67–70°F for San Francisco, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate west winds after early-week marine layer moisture and light drizzle clear. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 68–71°F bins, as the cold California Current and persistent onshore flow typically cap coastal highs near seasonal norms of about 70°F. Differentiation among closely matched outcomes hinges on subtle variables including exact marine layer depth, afternoon wind strength that can enhance or suppress warming, and microclimate effects at official measurement sites versus broader urban areas. Model consensus favors mild conditions without significant offshore flow or heat advection that would push readings into the mid-70s or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$203終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a Friday high near 67–70°F for San Francisco, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate west winds after early-week marine layer moisture and light drizzle clear. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 68–71°F bins, as the cold California Current and persistent onshore flow typically cap coastal highs near seasonal norms of about 70°F. Differentiation among closely matched outcomes hinges on subtle variables including exact marine layer depth, afternoon wind strength that can enhance or suppress warming, and microclimate effects at official measurement sites versus broader urban areas. Model consensus favors mild conditions without significant offshore flow or heat advection that would push readings into the mid-70s or higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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