Current forecasts from GFS and ECMWF ensembles point to overnight lows near 15–17°C in Paris on September 3 under building high pressure, light southwesterly winds, and limited cloud cover that permits moderate radiative cooling after sunset. Trader consensus clusters around these values because model spreads remain narrow this close to the event, with historical September 3 averages near 13°C providing context but recent warm anomalies favoring slightly higher minima. Key variables that could shift the exact low include dew-point depression, any residual boundary-layer mixing, or small timing differences in clearing skies, all of which explain the tight distribution across 14–17°C outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日のパリの最低気温は？
9月3日のパリの最低気温は？
16°C 25%
15°C 23%
17℃ 20%
14℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
11°C以下
13%
12°C
6%
13°C
11%
14℃
14%
15°C
23%
16°C
25%
17℃
20%
18°C
12%
19°C
10%
20°C
8%
21°C以上
2%
16°C 25%
15°C 23%
17℃ 20%
14℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
11°C以下
$5 Vol.
13%
12°C
$20 Vol.
6%
13°C
$0 Vol.
11%
14℃
$0 Vol.
14%
15°C
$0 Vol.
23%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17℃
$0 Vol.
20%
18°C
$0 Vol.
12%
19°C
$41 Vol.
10%
20°C
$5 Vol.
8%
21°C以上
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS and ECMWF ensembles point to overnight lows near 15–17°C in Paris on September 3 under building high pressure, light southwesterly winds, and limited cloud cover that permits moderate radiative cooling after sunset. Trader consensus clusters around these values because model spreads remain narrow this close to the event, with historical September 3 averages near 13°C providing context but recent warm anomalies favoring slightly higher minima. Key variables that could shift the exact low include dew-point depression, any residual boundary-layer mixing, or small timing differences in clearing skies, all of which explain the tight distribution across 14–17°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$76終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS and ECMWF ensembles point to overnight lows near 15–17°C in Paris on September 3 under building high pressure, light southwesterly winds, and limited cloud cover that permits moderate radiative cooling after sunset. Trader consensus clusters around these values because model spreads remain narrow this close to the event, with historical September 3 averages near 13°C providing context but recent warm anomalies favoring slightly higher minima. Key variables that could shift the exact low include dew-point depression, any residual boundary-layer mixing, or small timing differences in clearing skies, all of which explain the tight distribution across 14–17°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$76終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from GFS and ECMWF ensembles point to overnight lows near 15–17°C in Paris on September 3 under building high pressure, light southwesterly winds, and limited cloud cover that permits moderate radiative cooling after sunset. Trader consensus clusters around these values because model spreads remain narrow this close to the event, with historical September 3 averages near 13°C providing context but recent warm anomalies favoring slightly higher minima. Key variables that could shift the exact low include dew-point depression, any residual boundary-layer mixing, or small timing differences in clearing skies, all of which explain the tight distribution across 14–17°C outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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