Recent forecast models from GFS and ECMWF indicate a frontal passage over Moscow on September 5 will bring increased cloud cover, scattered rain or thunderstorms, and southwesterly winds, capping daytime highs near 16–18°C and suppressing the warmer conditions seen earlier in the week. This aligns with climatological September averages around 17°C, where precipitation and reduced insolation typically limit peak temperatures. Trader consensus reflects this tight cluster, with 17°C and 18°C leading due to model agreement on modest warming potential before the system arrives, while acknowledging uncertainty from variable rainfall timing or slight shifts in steering flow that could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs on September 4 will provide further clarity ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日のモスクワの最高気温は？
9月5日のモスクワの最高気温は？
18℃ 46%
17℃ 36%
16°C 23%
20°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/09/05
13℃以下
6%
14°C
6%
15°C
5%
16°C
23%
17℃
36%
18℃
31%
19℃
18%
20°C
18%
21°C
6%
22℃
6%
23℃以上
6%
18℃ 46%
17℃ 36%
16°C 23%
20°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/09/05
13℃以下
$0 Vol.
6%
14°C
$0 Vol.
6%
15°C
$20 Vol.
5%
16°C
$0 Vol.
23%
17℃
$8 Vol.
36%
18℃
$32 Vol.
31%
19℃
$0 Vol.
18%
20°C
$0 Vol.
18%
21°C
$0 Vol.
6%
22℃
$0 Vol.
6%
23℃以上
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from GFS and ECMWF indicate a frontal passage over Moscow on September 5 will bring increased cloud cover, scattered rain or thunderstorms, and southwesterly winds, capping daytime highs near 16–18°C and suppressing the warmer conditions seen earlier in the week. This aligns with climatological September averages around 17°C, where precipitation and reduced insolation typically limit peak temperatures. Trader consensus reflects this tight cluster, with 17°C and 18°C leading due to model agreement on modest warming potential before the system arrives, while acknowledging uncertainty from variable rainfall timing or slight shifts in steering flow that could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs on September 4 will provide further clarity ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$61終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from GFS and ECMWF indicate a frontal passage over Moscow on September 5 will bring increased cloud cover, scattered rain or thunderstorms, and southwesterly winds, capping daytime highs near 16–18°C and suppressing the warmer conditions seen earlier in the week. This aligns with climatological September averages around 17°C, where precipitation and reduced insolation typically limit peak temperatures. Trader consensus reflects this tight cluster, with 17°C and 18°C leading due to model agreement on modest warming potential before the system arrives, while acknowledging uncertainty from variable rainfall timing or slight shifts in steering flow that could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs on September 4 will provide further clarity ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$61終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from GFS and ECMWF indicate a frontal passage over Moscow on September 5 will bring increased cloud cover, scattered rain or thunderstorms, and southwesterly winds, capping daytime highs near 16–18°C and suppressing the warmer conditions seen earlier in the week. This aligns with climatological September averages around 17°C, where precipitation and reduced insolation typically limit peak temperatures. Trader consensus reflects this tight cluster, with 17°C and 18°C leading due to model agreement on modest warming potential before the system arrives, while acknowledging uncertainty from variable rainfall timing or slight shifts in steering flow that could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs on September 4 will provide further clarity ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問