Recent meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from Indonesia’s BMKG indicate a likely daily maximum near 34°C in Jakarta today, supporting the market’s leading 42% implied probability for that outcome amid closely contested odds with 33°C. In the early dry-season transition, reduced cloud cover and high solar insolation under light winds typically produce peaks in the 33–35°C range at the official Halim Perdanakusuma station, with minor afternoon variations in humidity, sea-breeze timing, or scattered convection able to shift the exact high by one degree. Historical May climatology places the median maximum around 33°C, so the narrow spread between the top two outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in today’s boundary-layer conditions rather than any strong anomalous forcing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月18日のジャカルタの最高気温は?
34℃ 42%
33°C 35%
35℃ 10%
32℃ 4%
$17,118 Vol.
$17,118 Vol.
27℃以下
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32℃
4%
33°C
35%
34℃
42%
35℃
10%
36℃
2%
37℃以上
<1%
34℃ 42%
33°C 35%
35℃ 10%
32℃ 4%
$17,118 Vol.
$17,118 Vol.
27℃以下
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32℃
4%
33°C
35%
34℃
42%
35℃
10%
36℃
2%
37℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from Indonesia’s BMKG indicate a likely daily maximum near 34°C in Jakarta today, supporting the market’s leading 42% implied probability for that outcome amid closely contested odds with 33°C. In the early dry-season transition, reduced cloud cover and high solar insolation under light winds typically produce peaks in the 33–35°C range at the official Halim Perdanakusuma station, with minor afternoon variations in humidity, sea-breeze timing, or scattered convection able to shift the exact high by one degree. Historical May climatology places the median maximum around 33°C, so the narrow spread between the top two outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in today’s boundary-layer conditions rather than any strong anomalous forcing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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