Latest National Weather Service and model guidance points to a Seattle high temperature near 62°F on May 17, with light onshore flow and scattered showers keeping readings from climbing much higher. This consensus has concentrated trader capital on the 62-63°F outcome at 38 percent implied probability, followed closely by 60-61°F at 26.5 percent, while the 64°F-or-higher band sits at 23 percent amid modest upside risk if clouds clear earlier than expected. Mid-May climatology for the region typically features highs in the upper 50s to low 60s under maritime influence, and current sea-level pressure patterns show no strong offshore warming to push values well above 63°F. The market remains sensitive to any final forecast adjustments overnight, as even a one-degree shift in the official Seattle-Tacoma International Airport observation could reprice the leading ranges before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のシアトルの最高気温は?
62~63°F 38%
60〜61°F 27%
華氏64度以上 22%
58〜59°F 11%
45°F以下
<1%
46〜47°F
<1%
48〜49°F
<1%
50~51°F
<1%
52~53°F
<1%
54~55°F
1%
56~57°F
2%
58〜59°F
11%
60〜61°F
27%
62~63°F
38%
華氏64度以上
22%
62~63°F 38%
60〜61°F 27%
華氏64度以上 22%
58〜59°F 11%
45°F以下
<1%
46〜47°F
<1%
48〜49°F
<1%
50~51°F
<1%
52~53°F
<1%
54~55°F
1%
56~57°F
2%
58〜59°F
11%
60〜61°F
27%
62~63°F
38%
華氏64度以上
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest National Weather Service and model guidance points to a Seattle high temperature near 62°F on May 17, with light onshore flow and scattered showers keeping readings from climbing much higher. This consensus has concentrated trader capital on the 62-63°F outcome at 38 percent implied probability, followed closely by 60-61°F at 26.5 percent, while the 64°F-or-higher band sits at 23 percent amid modest upside risk if clouds clear earlier than expected. Mid-May climatology for the region typically features highs in the upper 50s to low 60s under maritime influence, and current sea-level pressure patterns show no strong offshore warming to push values well above 63°F. The market remains sensitive to any final forecast adjustments overnight, as even a one-degree shift in the official Seattle-Tacoma International Airport observation could reprice the leading ranges before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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