Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a building high-pressure system advecting warmer continental air across southern England, with London expected to reach daily highs of 28–30°C on July 5 amid mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes of 29°C and 30°C, reflecting trader consensus on peak afternoon temperatures measured at official stations such as Heathrow or St James’s Park. The urban heat island effect may locally enhance readings by 1–2°C relative to rural surroundings, while ensemble models show limited spread but retain sensitivity to any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts. Updated guidance through the weekend will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in London on July 5?
29°C 43%
28°C 33%
30°C 13%
27°C 10.2%
$20,351 Vol.
$20,351 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
10%
28°C
33%
29°C
43%
30°C
13%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 43%
28°C 33%
30°C 13%
27°C 10.2%
$20,351 Vol.
$20,351 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
10%
28°C
33%
29°C
43%
30°C
13%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 3, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a building high-pressure system advecting warmer continental air across southern England, with London expected to reach daily highs of 28–30°C on July 5 amid mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes of 29°C and 30°C, reflecting trader consensus on peak afternoon temperatures measured at official stations such as Heathrow or St James’s Park. The urban heat island effect may locally enhance readings by 1–2°C relative to rural surroundings, while ensemble models show limited spread but retain sensitivity to any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts. Updated guidance through the weekend will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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