National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City point to a daytime high near 82–84°F on August 3, with light southwesterly flow, scattered clouds, and a modest chance of showers helping cap peaks. This consensus aligns with the market’s near-even split between the 84–85°F and 82–83°F bins. Typical early-August climatology around Central Park features an 83°F average high, while the urban heat island and variable boundary-layer moisture introduce small uncertainties that traders weigh against latest model runs. Resolution rests on the official maximum reported at the primary observing station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は?
82-83°F 34%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 22%
86-87°F 8%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 34%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 22%
86-87°F 8%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City point to a daytime high near 82–84°F on August 3, with light southwesterly flow, scattered clouds, and a modest chance of showers helping cap peaks. This consensus aligns with the market’s near-even split between the 84–85°F and 82–83°F bins. Typical early-August climatology around Central Park features an 83°F average high, while the urban heat island and variable boundary-layer moisture introduce small uncertainties that traders weigh against latest model runs. Resolution rests on the official maximum reported at the primary observing station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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