Current forecast models for Panama City, Panama, indicate afternoon highs on July 12 clustered near 30–31°C amid the peak rainy season and Intertropical Convergence Zone activity, which promotes widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating. This tight clustering around typical July climatology—where daily maxima average 30–32°C—explains why market-implied odds place 30°C and 31°C nearly even at the top, with modest probability on 29°C or 32°C reflecting minor differences in model timing of convection or moisture. Official guidance from regional analyses shows no strong anomalous warming or clear-sky periods that would push extremes higher, though small forecast adjustments in wind patterns or rainfall intensity could shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月12日のパナマシティの最高気温は?
31℃ 34%
30℃ 27%
32℃ 18%
29℃ 11%
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29℃
11%
30℃
27%
31℃
34%
32℃
18%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36℃以上
<1%
31℃ 34%
30℃ 27%
32℃ 18%
29℃ 11%
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29℃
11%
30℃
27%
31℃
34%
32℃
18%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models for Panama City, Panama, indicate afternoon highs on July 12 clustered near 30–31°C amid the peak rainy season and Intertropical Convergence Zone activity, which promotes widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating. This tight clustering around typical July climatology—where daily maxima average 30–32°C—explains why market-implied odds place 30°C and 31°C nearly even at the top, with modest probability on 29°C or 32°C reflecting minor differences in model timing of convection or moisture. Official guidance from regional analyses shows no strong anomalous warming or clear-sky periods that would push extremes higher, though small forecast adjustments in wind patterns or rainfall intensity could shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問