Short-term numerical weather prediction models from agencies including Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Paris maximum temperatures on July 17 are most likely to settle near 27–28 °C, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of a mid-level ridge, expected cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, and local wind patterns that modulate the urban heat island effect. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty around whether daytime heating reaches the 29 °C threshold, with any late-model shifts in timing or moisture likely to move the market. Historical July climatology places average highs near 25–26 °C, providing context for the current elevated forecast guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月17日のパリの最高気温は？
7月17日のパリの最高気温は？
28°C 34%
27°C 31%
29°C or higher 25%
26°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/07/17
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
8%
27°C
31%
28°C
34%
29°C or higher
25%
28°C 34%
27°C 31%
29°C or higher 25%
26°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/07/17
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$10 Vol.
1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
1%
24°C
$31 Vol.
2%
25°C
$10 Vol.
4%
26°C
$745 Vol.
8%
27°C
$22 Vol.
31%
28°C
$39 Vol.
34%
29°C or higher
$6 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models from agencies including Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Paris maximum temperatures on July 17 are most likely to settle near 27–28 °C, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of a mid-level ridge, expected cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, and local wind patterns that modulate the urban heat island effect. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty around whether daytime heating reaches the 29 °C threshold, with any late-model shifts in timing or moisture likely to move the market. Historical July climatology places average highs near 25–26 °C, providing context for the current elevated forecast guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 15, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$878終了日
2026/07/17マーケット開始日
Jul 15, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models from agencies including Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Paris maximum temperatures on July 17 are most likely to settle near 27–28 °C, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of a mid-level ridge, expected cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, and local wind patterns that modulate the urban heat island effect. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty around whether daytime heating reaches the 29 °C threshold, with any late-model shifts in timing or moisture likely to move the market. Historical July climatology places average highs near 25–26 °C, providing context for the current elevated forecast guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$878終了日
2026/07/17マーケット開始日
Jul 15, 2026, 12:02 AM ETShort-term numerical weather prediction models from agencies including Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Paris maximum temperatures on July 17 are most likely to settle near 27–28 °C, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of a mid-level ridge, expected cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, and local wind patterns that modulate the urban heat island effect. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty around whether daytime heating reaches the 29 °C threshold, with any late-model shifts in timing or moisture likely to move the market. Historical July climatology places average highs near 25–26 °C, providing context for the current elevated forecast guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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