National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations indicate San Francisco’s daytime maximum on May 17 will reach or exceed the 68°F climatological normal at San Francisco International Airport, driving the near-certain market consensus on the 68°F-or-higher outcome. A warming synoptic pattern with reduced marine-layer influence and light onshore flow supports this elevated reading, consistent with typical May conditions under neutral ENSO influence. The strong implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in official model consensus, yet a sudden strengthening of the marine layer or unexpected wind shift could still cap the high slightly below threshold before evening cooling sets in.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
5月17日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
68°F or higher 100.0%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$25,093 Vol.
$25,093 Vol.
2026/05/17
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
100%
68°F or higher 100.0%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$25,093 Vol.
$25,093 Vol.
2026/05/17
64-65°F
$5,224 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$3,450 Vol.
<1%
68°F or higher
$3,358 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations indicate San Francisco’s daytime maximum on May 17 will reach or exceed the 68°F climatological normal at San Francisco International Airport, driving the near-certain market consensus on the 68°F-or-higher outcome. A warming synoptic pattern with reduced marine-layer influence and light onshore flow supports this elevated reading, consistent with typical May conditions under neutral ENSO influence. The strong implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in official model consensus, yet a sudden strengthening of the marine layer or unexpected wind shift could still cap the high slightly below threshold before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$25,093終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations indicate San Francisco’s daytime maximum on May 17 will reach or exceed the 68°F climatological normal at San Francisco International Airport, driving the near-certain market consensus on the 68°F-or-higher outcome. A warming synoptic pattern with reduced marine-layer influence and light onshore flow supports this elevated reading, consistent with typical May conditions under neutral ENSO influence. The strong implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in official model consensus, yet a sudden strengthening of the marine layer or unexpected wind shift could still cap the high slightly below threshold before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$25,093終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations indicate San Francisco’s daytime maximum on May 17 will reach or exceed the 68°F climatological normal at San Francisco International Airport, driving the near-certain market consensus on the 68°F-or-higher outcome. A warming synoptic pattern with reduced marine-layer influence and light onshore flow supports this elevated reading, consistent with typical May conditions under neutral ENSO influence. The strong implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in official model consensus, yet a sudden strengthening of the marine layer or unexpected wind shift could still cap the high slightly below threshold before evening cooling sets in.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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