**Current forecasts position 27°C as the market leader at 46% implied probability**, with 26°C close behind, as ensemble models from regional meteorological centers project daytime highs of 26–27°C for São Paulo on August 3. Persistent subtropical high pressure is delivering clear skies and light winds that promote modest daytime warming, pushing temperatures 1–3°C above the long-term August average high of 23–25°C. Recent model runs show limited spread around this range, consistent with the observed pattern through early August and the absence of incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover that could suppress maxima. Traders appear to be weighting these stable atmospheric conditions heavily, though minor downward revisions remain possible if nocturnal cooling or localized variability strengthens overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
8月3日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
27°C 46%
26°C 27%
25°C 14%
28°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
14%
26°C
27%
27°C
46%
28°C
12%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
2%
27°C 46%
26°C 27%
25°C 14%
28°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
20°C or below
$42 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$203 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$50 Vol.
1%
24°C
$61 Vol.
5%
25°C
$55 Vol.
14%
26°C
$35 Vol.
27%
27°C
$123 Vol.
46%
28°C
$79 Vol.
12%
29°C
$30 Vol.
4%
30°C or higher
$50 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts position 27°C as the market leader at 46% implied probability**, with 26°C close behind, as ensemble models from regional meteorological centers project daytime highs of 26–27°C for São Paulo on August 3. Persistent subtropical high pressure is delivering clear skies and light winds that promote modest daytime warming, pushing temperatures 1–3°C above the long-term August average high of 23–25°C. Recent model runs show limited spread around this range, consistent with the observed pattern through early August and the absence of incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover that could suppress maxima. Traders appear to be weighting these stable atmospheric conditions heavily, though minor downward revisions remain possible if nocturnal cooling or localized variability strengthens overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 1, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$839終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts position 27°C as the market leader at 46% implied probability**, with 26°C close behind, as ensemble models from regional meteorological centers project daytime highs of 26–27°C for São Paulo on August 3. Persistent subtropical high pressure is delivering clear skies and light winds that promote modest daytime warming, pushing temperatures 1–3°C above the long-term August average high of 23–25°C. Recent model runs show limited spread around this range, consistent with the observed pattern through early August and the absence of incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover that could suppress maxima. Traders appear to be weighting these stable atmospheric conditions heavily, though minor downward revisions remain possible if nocturnal cooling or localized variability strengthens overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$839終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 9:02 PM ET**Current forecasts position 27°C as the market leader at 46% implied probability**, with 26°C close behind, as ensemble models from regional meteorological centers project daytime highs of 26–27°C for São Paulo on August 3. Persistent subtropical high pressure is delivering clear skies and light winds that promote modest daytime warming, pushing temperatures 1–3°C above the long-term August average high of 23–25°C. Recent model runs show limited spread around this range, consistent with the observed pattern through early August and the absence of incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover that could suppress maxima. Traders appear to be weighting these stable atmospheric conditions heavily, though minor downward revisions remain possible if nocturnal cooling or localized variability strengthens overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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