Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to peak daytime highs of 34–36°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 4, driven by a strong North Pacific high-pressure ridge sustaining clear skies, light winds, and high humidity typical of midsummer. Incheon’s coastal location provides modest moderation compared with inland Seoul, narrowing the spread among leading outcomes while historical August averages of 29–31°C underscore the elevated heat. Model consensus remains tight but will shift with the next KMA short-range updates and ensemble runs expected over the next 48 hours, directly influencing trader weighting toward the 34–36°C cluster.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のソウル(仁川)の最高気温は?
34°C 29%
35°C 27%
36°C 24%
33°C 18%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
18%
34°C
29%
35°C
27%
36°C
24%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
2%
34°C 29%
35°C 27%
36°C 24%
33°C 18%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
18%
34°C
29%
35°C
27%
36°C
24%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to peak daytime highs of 34–36°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 4, driven by a strong North Pacific high-pressure ridge sustaining clear skies, light winds, and high humidity typical of midsummer. Incheon’s coastal location provides modest moderation compared with inland Seoul, narrowing the spread among leading outcomes while historical August averages of 29–31°C underscore the elevated heat. Model consensus remains tight but will shift with the next KMA short-range updates and ensemble runs expected over the next 48 hours, directly influencing trader weighting toward the 34–36°C cluster.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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