Official Central Weather Administration observations confirm a peak of 37°C in Taipei on August 14, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure, combined with urban heat island effects and low wind speeds, supported strong daytime heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon convection. Model guidance from regional ensembles showed limited variability around the observed maximum, consistent with late-summer climatology where highs frequently reach the mid-30s. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-event data revision from the primary observation site or a discrepancy in the exact 24-hour reporting window used for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日の台北の最高気温は?
37°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$51,613 Vol.
$51,613 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$51,613 Vol.
$51,613 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official Central Weather Administration observations confirm a peak of 37°C in Taipei on August 14, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure, combined with urban heat island effects and low wind speeds, supported strong daytime heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon convection. Model guidance from regional ensembles showed limited variability around the observed maximum, consistent with late-summer climatology where highs frequently reach the mid-30s. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-event data revision from the primary observation site or a discrepancy in the exact 24-hour reporting window used for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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