Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged overwhelmingly on 26°C as Wuhan's highest temperature for August 13, reflecting the latest observational data and short-range forecast models from authoritative meteorological agencies. Stable high-pressure systems over central China, combined with typical late-summer humidity and light winds in the Yangtze River valley, have produced conditions matching this exact threshold at official stations. Historical climatology places mid-August averages near 32°C, yet current model consensus and real-time measurements align precisely with 26°C. This market-implied outcome could shift only in the event of significant post-analysis revisions to station data or unforeseen microscale atmospheric changes, both of which remain low-probability given the proximity to resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日の武漢の最高気温は？
8月13日の武漢の最高気温は？
26℃ 100.0%
23°C以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25℃ <1%
$53,478 Vol.
$53,478 Vol.
2026/08/13
23°C以下
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26℃
はい
27℃
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30℃
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32°C
いいえ
33℃以上
いいえ
26℃ 100.0%
23°C以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25℃ <1%
$53,478 Vol.
$53,478 Vol.
2026/08/13
23°C以下
$599 Vol.
いいえ
24°C
$2,100 Vol.
いいえ
25℃
$6,569 Vol.
いいえ
26℃
$6,409 Vol.
はい
27℃
$6,830 Vol.
いいえ
28℃
$4,064 Vol.
いいえ
29℃
$5,796 Vol.
いいえ
30℃
$16,103 Vol.
いいえ
31℃
$2,764 Vol.
いいえ
32°C
$1,459 Vol.
いいえ
33℃以上
$786 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged overwhelmingly on 26°C as Wuhan's highest temperature for August 13, reflecting the latest observational data and short-range forecast models from authoritative meteorological agencies. Stable high-pressure systems over central China, combined with typical late-summer humidity and light winds in the Yangtze River valley, have produced conditions matching this exact threshold at official stations. Historical climatology places mid-August averages near 32°C, yet current model consensus and real-time measurements align precisely with 26°C. This market-implied outcome could shift only in the event of significant post-analysis revisions to station data or unforeseen microscale atmospheric changes, both of which remain low-probability given the proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$53,478終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged overwhelmingly on 26°C as Wuhan's highest temperature for August 13, reflecting the latest observational data and short-range forecast models from authoritative meteorological agencies. Stable high-pressure systems over central China, combined with typical late-summer humidity and light winds in the Yangtze River valley, have produced conditions matching this exact threshold at official stations. Historical climatology places mid-August averages near 32°C, yet current model consensus and real-time measurements align precisely with 26°C. This market-implied outcome could shift only in the event of significant post-analysis revisions to station data or unforeseen microscale atmospheric changes, both of which remain low-probability given the proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$53,478終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged overwhelmingly on 26°C as Wuhan's highest temperature for August 13, reflecting the latest observational data and short-range forecast models from authoritative meteorological agencies. Stable high-pressure systems over central China, combined with typical late-summer humidity and light winds in the Yangtze River valley, have produced conditions matching this exact threshold at official stations. Historical climatology places mid-August averages near 32°C, yet current model consensus and real-time measurements align precisely with 26°C. This market-implied outcome could shift only in the event of significant post-analysis revisions to station data or unforeseen microscale atmospheric changes, both of which remain low-probability given the proximity to resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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