Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Wuhan’s peak temperature on August 14 will reach 30 °C, driven by stable subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around this value, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs average near 30–32 °C before seasonal decline. Real-time surface observations and short-range guidance reinforce the consensus, leaving little room for deviation. The only plausible challenges would be an unforecasted convective cell delivering rapid cooling or a sharper-than-expected wind shift enhancing mixing, both of which carry low probability given the current synoptic pattern.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日の武漢の最高気温は?
30℃ 100.0%
24°C以下 <1%
25℃ <1%
26℃ <1%
$63,393 Vol.
$63,393 Vol.
24°C以下
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30℃
はい
31°C
いいえ
32℃
いいえ
33℃
いいえ
34°C以上
いいえ
30℃ 100.0%
24°C以下 <1%
25℃ <1%
26℃ <1%
$63,393 Vol.
$63,393 Vol.
24°C以下
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30℃
はい
31°C
いいえ
32℃
いいえ
33℃
いいえ
34°C以上
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Wuhan’s peak temperature on August 14 will reach 30 °C, driven by stable subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around this value, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs average near 30–32 °C before seasonal decline. Real-time surface observations and short-range guidance reinforce the consensus, leaving little room for deviation. The only plausible challenges would be an unforecasted convective cell delivering rapid cooling or a sharper-than-expected wind shift enhancing mixing, both of which carry low probability given the current synoptic pattern.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問