Despite heightened bilateral tensions marked by Turkish rhetorical condemnations of Israeli operations and reciprocal diplomatic friction, deconfliction channels established after 2025 Syrian airstrikes have reduced escalation risks. Both governments have prioritized other regional commitments, including Turkey’s focus on Kurdish forces and Israel’s engagements with Iran and Hezbollah, limiting direct confrontation incentives. Trade restrictions and mutual accusations persist without crossing into military action, reinforcing trader consensus that a clash before 2027 remains unlikely amid these structural restraints.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$198,819 Vol.
$198,819 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$198,819 Vol.
$198,819 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Despite heightened bilateral tensions marked by Turkish rhetorical condemnations of Israeli operations and reciprocal diplomatic friction, deconfliction channels established after 2025 Syrian airstrikes have reduced escalation risks. Both governments have prioritized other regional commitments, including Turkey’s focus on Kurdish forces and Israel’s engagements with Iran and Hezbollah, limiting direct confrontation incentives. Trade restrictions and mutual accusations persist without crossing into military action, reinforcing trader consensus that a clash before 2027 remains unlikely amid these structural restraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
音量
$198,819終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Despite heightened bilateral tensions marked by Turkish rhetorical condemnations of Israeli operations and reciprocal diplomatic friction, deconfliction channels established after 2025 Syrian airstrikes have reduced escalation risks. Both governments have prioritized other regional commitments, including Turkey’s focus on Kurdish forces and Israel’s engagements with Iran and Hezbollah, limiting direct confrontation incentives. Trade restrictions and mutual accusations persist without crossing into military action, reinforcing trader consensus that a clash before 2027 remains unlikely amid these structural restraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$198,819終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite heightened bilateral tensions marked by Turkish rhetorical condemnations of Israeli operations and reciprocal diplomatic friction, deconfliction channels established after 2025 Syrian airstrikes have reduced escalation risks. Both governments have prioritized other regional commitments, including Turkey’s focus on Kurdish forces and Israel’s engagements with Iran and Hezbollah, limiting direct confrontation incentives. Trade restrictions and mutual accusations persist without crossing into military action, reinforcing trader consensus that a clash before 2027 remains unlikely amid these structural restraints.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問