Incumbent Keelung Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang, the Kuomintang nominee, holds a commanding position in the 2026 mayoral race due to his established record since winning office in 2022 and surviving a recall vote in 2024. Trader consensus at 78.5% for Hsieh aligns with polling leads over the primary challenger, Democratic Progressive Party candidate Tung Tzu-wei, currently at 12.5%. Key factors include local governance performance, party organizational strength in the city, and the absence of major recent disruptions that could shift voter alignments ahead of the November vote. Other registered candidates remain long shots with limited visibility in current assessments. Scheduled campaign activities and any late polling shifts could still influence final margins before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2027/06/30
謝国樑
79%
トン・ズーウェイ
13%
新規
新規
2027/06/30
謝国樑
$399 Vol.
79%
トン・ズーウェイ
$251 Vol.
13%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Keelung Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang, the Kuomintang nominee, holds a commanding position in the 2026 mayoral race due to his established record since winning office in 2022 and surviving a recall vote in 2024. Trader consensus at 78.5% for Hsieh aligns with polling leads over the primary challenger, Democratic Progressive Party candidate Tung Tzu-wei, currently at 12.5%. Key factors include local governance performance, party organizational strength in the city, and the absence of major recent disruptions that could shift voter alignments ahead of the November vote. Other registered candidates remain long shots with limited visibility in current assessments. Scheduled campaign activities and any late polling shifts could still influence final margins before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
音量
$650終了日
2026/11/28マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Keelung Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang, the Kuomintang nominee, holds a commanding position in the 2026 mayoral race due to his established record since winning office in 2022 and surviving a recall vote in 2024. Trader consensus at 78.5% for Hsieh aligns with polling leads over the primary challenger, Democratic Progressive Party candidate Tung Tzu-wei, currently at 12.5%. Key factors include local governance performance, party organizational strength in the city, and the absence of major recent disruptions that could shift voter alignments ahead of the November vote. Other registered candidates remain long shots with limited visibility in current assessments. Scheduled campaign activities and any late polling shifts could still influence final margins before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
音量
$650終了日
2026/11/28マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Keelung Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang, the Kuomintang nominee, holds a commanding position in the 2026 mayoral race due to his established record since winning office in 2022 and surviving a recall vote in 2024. Trader consensus at 78.5% for Hsieh aligns with polling leads over the primary challenger, Democratic Progressive Party candidate Tung Tzu-wei, currently at 12.5%. Key factors include local governance performance, party organizational strength in the city, and the absence of major recent disruptions that could shift voter alignments ahead of the November vote. Other registered candidates remain long shots with limited visibility in current assessments. Scheduled campaign activities and any late polling shifts could still influence final margins before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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