Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley’s near-even odds for lead underwriter on Anthropic’s planned October 2026 IPO stem from their joint selection as top bookrunners following the AI firm’s June confidential S-1 filing. The coveted “lead left” role on the prospectus, which confers allocation authority and higher economics, remains undecided amid intense competition between the two banks dominant in large tech offerings. JPMorgan’s distant third position reflects narrower involvement to date. Key swing factors include banker relationships with Anthropic’s investors, capacity to handle parallel OpenAI syndication without conflicts, and positioning ahead of roadshow timing. Market-implied probabilities capture this closely contested dynamic backed by real capital at risk.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Goldman Sachs 50%
Morgan Stanley 47%
JPMorgan 4.8%
Bank of America <1%
$46,944 Vol.
$46,944 Vol.
2027/12/31
Morgan Stanley
47%
Goldman Sachs
50%
JPMorgan
5%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Goldman Sachs 50%
Morgan Stanley 47%
JPMorgan 4.8%
Bank of America <1%
$46,944 Vol.
$46,944 Vol.
2027/12/31
Morgan Stanley
$11,142 Vol.
47%
Goldman Sachs
$7,346 Vol.
50%
JPMorgan
$7,038 Vol.
5%
Bank of America
$4,169 Vol.
<1%
Citigroup
$4,355 Vol.
<1%
Barclays
$2,664 Vol.
<1%
UBS
$3,284 Vol.
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$4,228 Vol.
<1%
Wells Fargo
$2,716 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley’s near-even odds for lead underwriter on Anthropic’s planned October 2026 IPO stem from their joint selection as top bookrunners following the AI firm’s June confidential S-1 filing. The coveted “lead left” role on the prospectus, which confers allocation authority and higher economics, remains undecided amid intense competition between the two banks dominant in large tech offerings. JPMorgan’s distant third position reflects narrower involvement to date. Key swing factors include banker relationships with Anthropic’s investors, capacity to handle parallel OpenAI syndication without conflicts, and positioning ahead of roadshow timing. Market-implied probabilities capture this closely contested dynamic backed by real capital at risk.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
音量
$46,944終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley’s near-even odds for lead underwriter on Anthropic’s planned October 2026 IPO stem from their joint selection as top bookrunners following the AI firm’s June confidential S-1 filing. The coveted “lead left” role on the prospectus, which confers allocation authority and higher economics, remains undecided amid intense competition between the two banks dominant in large tech offerings. JPMorgan’s distant third position reflects narrower involvement to date. Key swing factors include banker relationships with Anthropic’s investors, capacity to handle parallel OpenAI syndication without conflicts, and positioning ahead of roadshow timing. Market-implied probabilities capture this closely contested dynamic backed by real capital at risk.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$46,944終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley’s near-even odds for lead underwriter on Anthropic’s planned October 2026 IPO stem from their joint selection as top bookrunners following the AI firm’s June confidential S-1 filing. The coveted “lead left” role on the prospectus, which confers allocation authority and higher economics, remains undecided amid intense competition between the two banks dominant in large tech offerings. JPMorgan’s distant third position reflects narrower involvement to date. Key swing factors include banker relationships with Anthropic’s investors, capacity to handle parallel OpenAI syndication without conflicts, and positioning ahead of roadshow timing. Market-implied probabilities capture this closely contested dynamic backed by real capital at risk.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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