Goldman Sachs holds an 83.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO because of its recent selection as lead-left bookrunner on the SpaceX offering and its longstanding dominance in high-profile technology debuts. OpenAI confidentially filed its S-1 with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley as primary bookrunners, yet reporting consistently positions Goldman ahead for the critical lead-left designation on the prospectus. Morgan Stanley’s 12.5% reflects its comparable but secondary role across both OpenAI and Anthropic preparations. Recent statements from CEO Sam Altman delaying any 2026 listing until at least 2027 amid AI safety priorities have introduced timeline uncertainty without materially shifting trader consensus around the bank selection. Lower-probability banks remain in supporting syndicate positions only.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs 84%
Morgan Stanley 13%
Bank of America 1.1%
JPMorgan <1%
$51,345 Vol.
$51,345 Vol.
2027/12/30
Goldman Sachs
84%
Morgan Stanley
13%
Bank of America
1%
JPMorgan
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Goldman Sachs 84%
Morgan Stanley 13%
Bank of America 1.1%
JPMorgan <1%
$51,345 Vol.
$51,345 Vol.
2027/12/30
Goldman Sachs
$14,223 Vol.
84%
Morgan Stanley
$8,600 Vol.
13%
Bank of America
$2,483 Vol.
1%
JPMorgan
$3,929 Vol.
<1%
Citigroup
$2,649 Vol.
<1%
Barclays
$3,599 Vol.
<1%
UBS
$3,544 Vol.
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$9,084 Vol.
<1%
Wells Fargo
$3,234 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds an 83.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO because of its recent selection as lead-left bookrunner on the SpaceX offering and its longstanding dominance in high-profile technology debuts. OpenAI confidentially filed its S-1 with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley as primary bookrunners, yet reporting consistently positions Goldman ahead for the critical lead-left designation on the prospectus. Morgan Stanley’s 12.5% reflects its comparable but secondary role across both OpenAI and Anthropic preparations. Recent statements from CEO Sam Altman delaying any 2026 listing until at least 2027 amid AI safety priorities have introduced timeline uncertainty without materially shifting trader consensus around the bank selection. Lower-probability banks remain in supporting syndicate positions only.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
音量
$51,345終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds an 83.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO because of its recent selection as lead-left bookrunner on the SpaceX offering and its longstanding dominance in high-profile technology debuts. OpenAI confidentially filed its S-1 with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley as primary bookrunners, yet reporting consistently positions Goldman ahead for the critical lead-left designation on the prospectus. Morgan Stanley’s 12.5% reflects its comparable but secondary role across both OpenAI and Anthropic preparations. Recent statements from CEO Sam Altman delaying any 2026 listing until at least 2027 amid AI safety priorities have introduced timeline uncertainty without materially shifting trader consensus around the bank selection. Lower-probability banks remain in supporting syndicate positions only.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$51,345終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs holds an 83.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO because of its recent selection as lead-left bookrunner on the SpaceX offering and its longstanding dominance in high-profile technology debuts. OpenAI confidentially filed its S-1 with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley as primary bookrunners, yet reporting consistently positions Goldman ahead for the critical lead-left designation on the prospectus. Morgan Stanley’s 12.5% reflects its comparable but secondary role across both OpenAI and Anthropic preparations. Recent statements from CEO Sam Altman delaying any 2026 listing until at least 2027 amid AI safety priorities have introduced timeline uncertainty without materially shifting trader consensus around the bank selection. Lower-probability banks remain in supporting syndicate positions only.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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