Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO, driven by its recent selection for the lead-left role on SpaceX’s high-profile offering and active involvement alongside Morgan Stanley in drafting OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing. Traders view the bank’s deep tech-sector expertise, track record with large artificial-intelligence and growth-company listings, and established relationships with OpenAI leadership as decisive advantages in a competitive race that also includes Morgan Stanley at 7.0%. Recent confidential filing momentum and the broader rush of AI firms toward public markets have reinforced this consensus, though final bookrunner assignments can shift before the expected late-2026 debut.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Goldman Sachs 71%
Morgan Stanley 7%
UBS 6.0%
Deutsche Bank 3.6%
$21,509 Vol.
$21,509 Vol.
2027/12/31
Goldman Sachs
71%
Morgan Stanley
7%
UBS
6%
Deutsche Bank
4%
Wells Fargo
4%
JPMorgan
3%
Barclays
2%
Bank of America
1%
Citigroup
1%
Goldman Sachs 71%
Morgan Stanley 7%
UBS 6.0%
Deutsche Bank 3.6%
$21,509 Vol.
$21,509 Vol.
2027/12/31
Goldman Sachs
$2,625 Vol.
71%
Morgan Stanley
$2,513 Vol.
7%
UBS
$2,039 Vol.
6%
Deutsche Bank
$7,081 Vol.
4%
Wells Fargo
$1,665 Vol.
4%
JPMorgan
$1,852 Vol.
3%
Barclays
$1,453 Vol.
2%
Bank of America
$1,016 Vol.
1%
Citigroup
$1,265 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO, driven by its recent selection for the lead-left role on SpaceX’s high-profile offering and active involvement alongside Morgan Stanley in drafting OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing. Traders view the bank’s deep tech-sector expertise, track record with large artificial-intelligence and growth-company listings, and established relationships with OpenAI leadership as decisive advantages in a competitive race that also includes Morgan Stanley at 7.0%. Recent confidential filing momentum and the broader rush of AI firms toward public markets have reinforced this consensus, though final bookrunner assignments can shift before the expected late-2026 debut.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
音量
$21,509終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO, driven by its recent selection for the lead-left role on SpaceX’s high-profile offering and active involvement alongside Morgan Stanley in drafting OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing. Traders view the bank’s deep tech-sector expertise, track record with large artificial-intelligence and growth-company listings, and established relationships with OpenAI leadership as decisive advantages in a competitive race that also includes Morgan Stanley at 7.0%. Recent confidential filing momentum and the broader rush of AI firms toward public markets have reinforced this consensus, though final bookrunner assignments can shift before the expected late-2026 debut.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$21,509終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO, driven by its recent selection for the lead-left role on SpaceX’s high-profile offering and active involvement alongside Morgan Stanley in drafting OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing. Traders view the bank’s deep tech-sector expertise, track record with large artificial-intelligence and growth-company listings, and established relationships with OpenAI leadership as decisive advantages in a competitive race that also includes Morgan Stanley at 7.0%. Recent confidential filing momentum and the broader rush of AI firms toward public markets have reinforced this consensus, though final bookrunner assignments can shift before the expected late-2026 debut.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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