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Richest person on December 31, 2026?

icon for Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

12月 31

12月 31

Elon Musk 95%

Warren Buffett 1.3%

Jensen Huang <1%

Bernard Arnault <1%

Polymarket

$1,831,390 Vol.

Elon Musk 95%

Warren Buffett 1.3%

Jensen Huang <1%

Bernard Arnault <1%

Polymarket

$1,831,390 Vol.

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$150,114 Vol.

95%

icon for Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett

$87,735 Vol.

1%

icon for Jensen Huang

Jensen Huang

$176,240 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernard Arnault

Bernard Arnault

$364,818 Vol.

1%

icon for Jeff Bezos

Jeff Bezos

$336,352 Vol.

1%

icon for Steve Ballmer

Steve Ballmer

$307,909 Vol.

<1%

icon for Larry Page

Larry Page

$142,193 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mark Zuckerberg

Mark Zuckerberg

$128,989 Vol.

<1%

icon for Larry Ellison

Larry Ellison

$56,637 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sergey Brin

Sergey Brin

$80,402 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Elon Musk’s position as the clear frontrunner stems from his recent milestone as the world’s first trillionaire, fueled by SpaceX’s blockbuster June 2026 IPO that added hundreds of billions to his fortune alongside sustained Tesla gains. This has created an unprecedented wealth gap exceeding $800 billion over nearest rivals like Larry Page and Sergey Brin, whose Google holdings and other tech fortunes have not kept pace. Traders see limited room for others—such as Jensen Huang via Nvidia momentum or Bernard Arnault in luxury—to close the distance by year-end without extraordinary market swings. An upset would require a severe, sustained decline in Musk’s core holdings or synchronized surges elsewhere, scenarios viewed as low-probability given current trajectories.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
音量
$1,831,390
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Elon Musk’s position as the clear frontrunner stems from his recent milestone as the world’s first trillionaire, fueled by SpaceX’s blockbuster June 2026 IPO that added hundreds of billions to his fortune alongside sustained Tesla gains. This has created an unprecedented wealth gap exceeding $800 billion over nearest rivals like Larry Page and Sergey Brin, whose Google holdings and other tech fortunes have not kept pace. Traders see limited room for others—such as Jensen Huang via Nvidia momentum or Bernard Arnault in luxury—to close the distance by year-end without extraordinary market swings. An upset would require a severe, sustained decline in Musk’s core holdings or synchronized surges elsewhere, scenarios viewed as low-probability given current trajectories.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
音量
$1,831,390
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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よくある質問

「Richest person on December 31, 2026?」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Elon Musk」で95%、次いで「Warren Buffett」が1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、95¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に95%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Richest person on December 31, 2026?」は$1.8 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 12, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Richest person on December 31, 2026?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Richest person on December 31, 2026?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Elon Musk」で95%であり、市場がこの結果に95%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Warren Buffett」で1%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Richest person on December 31, 2026?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。