Official forecasts from Turkey's meteorological service and regional models indicate Ankara's overnight low on September 9 will likely settle near 10–12°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds that favor radiative cooling. Recent observations show early-morning readings around 10°C at Esenboğa and central stations, consistent with seasonal norms slightly above average amid stable high pressure. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 9–10°C outcomes, incorporates these data alongside minor model spreads on exact minimum timing and microsite variations. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum reported by 18:00 local time, with no significant frontal systems expected to alter the trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のアンカラの最低気温は?
10°C 95%
8°C 87.6%
9℃ 40%
11℃ <1%
7°C以下
-
8°C
88%
9℃
40%
10°C
74%
11℃
<1%
12°C
<1%
13℃
<1%
14°C
<1%
15℃
<1%
16°C
<1%
17℃以上
<1%
10°C 95%
8°C 87.6%
9℃ 40%
11℃ <1%
7°C以下
-
8°C
88%
9℃
40%
10°C
74%
11℃
<1%
12°C
<1%
13℃
<1%
14°C
<1%
15℃
<1%
16°C
<1%
17℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Turkey's meteorological service and regional models indicate Ankara's overnight low on September 9 will likely settle near 10–12°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds that favor radiative cooling. Recent observations show early-morning readings around 10°C at Esenboğa and central stations, consistent with seasonal norms slightly above average amid stable high pressure. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 9–10°C outcomes, incorporates these data alongside minor model spreads on exact minimum timing and microsite variations. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum reported by 18:00 local time, with no significant frontal systems expected to alter the trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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