Strong model consensus and official forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a minimum of 10°C for Ankara on September 9 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical radiative cooling at the city’s ~900 m elevation. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 11–13°C amid a stable high-pressure regime, aligning closely with early-September climatology. This evidence supports the market’s 99.7% implied probability for exactly 10°C. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically produce a different recorded low.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のアンカラの最低気温は？
9月9日のアンカラの最低気温は？
10°C 100.0%
7°C以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9℃ <1%
$3,025 Vol.
$3,025 Vol.
2026/09/09
7°C以下
いいえ
8°C
いいえ
9℃
いいえ
10°C
はい
11℃
いいえ
12°C
いいえ
13℃
いいえ
14°C
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17℃以上
いいえ
10°C 100.0%
7°C以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9℃ <1%
$3,025 Vol.
$3,025 Vol.
2026/09/09
7°C以下
$50 Vol.
いいえ
8°C
$45 Vol.
いいえ
9℃
$45 Vol.
いいえ
10°C
$776 Vol.
はい
11℃
$480 Vol.
いいえ
12°C
$206 Vol.
いいえ
13℃
$573 Vol.
いいえ
14°C
$189 Vol.
いいえ
15℃
$164 Vol.
いいえ
16°C
$269 Vol.
いいえ
17℃以上
$230 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus and official forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a minimum of 10°C for Ankara on September 9 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical radiative cooling at the city’s ~900 m elevation. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 11–13°C amid a stable high-pressure regime, aligning closely with early-September climatology. This evidence supports the market’s 99.7% implied probability for exactly 10°C. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically produce a different recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$3,025終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus and official forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a minimum of 10°C for Ankara on September 9 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical radiative cooling at the city’s ~900 m elevation. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 11–13°C amid a stable high-pressure regime, aligning closely with early-September climatology. This evidence supports the market’s 99.7% implied probability for exactly 10°C. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically produce a different recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,025終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Strong model consensus and official forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a minimum of 10°C for Ankara on September 9 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical radiative cooling at the city’s ~900 m elevation. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 11–13°C amid a stable high-pressure regime, aligning closely with early-September climatology. This evidence supports the market’s 99.7% implied probability for exactly 10°C. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically produce a different recorded low.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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