**Incoming cold air and widespread rain are the main drivers behind trader positioning for Chengdu’s September 10 low temperature.** A cold-front passage and northerly winds are forecast to drop daytime highs from the mid-30s °C earlier in the week to the low-to-mid 20s °C, while overnight and early-morning minima are expected near 18–19 °C under cloudy, rainy skies that limit radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance and official outlooks show modest spread around this range, with some runs allowing slightly deeper cooling to the mid-teens if the rain shield is heavier or winds stronger, and others keeping readings closer to 20 °C if clouds break earlier. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 14–20 °C reflects this narrow but non-zero uncertainty in the final 48-hour forecast window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日の成都の最低気温は？
9月10日の成都の最低気温は？
14℃以下 85%
24℃以上 69%
23°C 38%
19℃ 30%
新規
新規
2026/09/10
14℃以下
85%
15°C
19%
16°C
22%
17℃
22%
18℃
24%
19℃
30%
20℃
27%
21℃
15%
22℃
16%
23°C
38%
24℃以上
69%
14℃以下 85%
24℃以上 69%
23°C 38%
19℃ 30%
新規
新規
2026/09/10
14℃以下
$30 Vol.
85%
15°C
$0 Vol.
19%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17℃
$0 Vol.
22%
18℃
$0 Vol.
24%
19℃
$0 Vol.
30%
20℃
$0 Vol.
27%
21℃
$0 Vol.
15%
22℃
$0 Vol.
16%
23°C
$60 Vol.
38%
24℃以上
$25 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Incoming cold air and widespread rain are the main drivers behind trader positioning for Chengdu’s September 10 low temperature.** A cold-front passage and northerly winds are forecast to drop daytime highs from the mid-30s °C earlier in the week to the low-to-mid 20s °C, while overnight and early-morning minima are expected near 18–19 °C under cloudy, rainy skies that limit radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance and official outlooks show modest spread around this range, with some runs allowing slightly deeper cooling to the mid-teens if the rain shield is heavier or winds stronger, and others keeping readings closer to 20 °C if clouds break earlier. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 14–20 °C reflects this narrow but non-zero uncertainty in the final 48-hour forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$115終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Incoming cold air and widespread rain are the main drivers behind trader positioning for Chengdu’s September 10 low temperature.** A cold-front passage and northerly winds are forecast to drop daytime highs from the mid-30s °C earlier in the week to the low-to-mid 20s °C, while overnight and early-morning minima are expected near 18–19 °C under cloudy, rainy skies that limit radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance and official outlooks show modest spread around this range, with some runs allowing slightly deeper cooling to the mid-teens if the rain shield is heavier or winds stronger, and others keeping readings closer to 20 °C if clouds break earlier. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 14–20 °C reflects this narrow but non-zero uncertainty in the final 48-hour forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$115終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Incoming cold air and widespread rain are the main drivers behind trader positioning for Chengdu’s September 10 low temperature.** A cold-front passage and northerly winds are forecast to drop daytime highs from the mid-30s °C earlier in the week to the low-to-mid 20s °C, while overnight and early-morning minima are expected near 18–19 °C under cloudy, rainy skies that limit radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance and official outlooks show modest spread around this range, with some runs allowing slightly deeper cooling to the mid-teens if the rain shield is heavier or winds stronger, and others keeping readings closer to 20 °C if clouds break earlier. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 14–20 °C reflects this narrow but non-zero uncertainty in the final 48-hour forecast window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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