Trader consensus strongly favors a 24°C low in Chengdu on September 8, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction runs from the China Meteorological Administration that show stable subtropical high pressure dominating the Sichuan Basin with minimal advection of cooler air. Ensemble models indicate limited diurnal cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early September climatology where basin lows typically range 22–25°C. Official guidance through the evening maintains this trajectory, though a modest eastward shift in the upper-level ridge or localized urban effects could produce minor deviations. Updated model cycles overnight remain the key near-term data point for any reassessment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月8日の成都の最低気温は?
24℃ 100.0%
23℃ 20%
19℃以下 <1%
20℃ <1%
$4,002 Vol.
$4,002 Vol.
19℃以下
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃
はい
25℃
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29℃以上
いいえ
24℃ 100.0%
23℃ 20%
19℃以下 <1%
20℃ <1%
$4,002 Vol.
$4,002 Vol.
19℃以下
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃
はい
25℃
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus strongly favors a 24°C low in Chengdu on September 8, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction runs from the China Meteorological Administration that show stable subtropical high pressure dominating the Sichuan Basin with minimal advection of cooler air. Ensemble models indicate limited diurnal cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early September climatology where basin lows typically range 22–25°C. Official guidance through the evening maintains this trajectory, though a modest eastward shift in the upper-level ridge or localized urban effects could produce minor deviations. Updated model cycles overnight remain the key near-term data point for any reassessment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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