**The overwhelming 99.1% market-implied probability on an 82–83°F low for Dallas on September 9 reflects official National Weather Service verification that the minimum reached exactly 82°F at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport around 6:25 a.m. CDT.** This value sits 11°F above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 71°F and aligns with a broader late-summer heat pattern, as daytime highs hit 101°F (tying a record) under clear skies and light southerly flow that limited nocturnal cooling. With the date now passed, traders are simply confirming the authoritative NWS climatological report rather than forecasting. The only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution involve measurement discrepancies across official Dallas-area stations or post-verification data revisions, though neither appears likely given the consistency of preliminary observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のダラスの最低気温は？
9月9日のダラスの最低気温は？
82～83°F 100.0%
80～81°F 10%
78〜79°F 2%
71°F以下 <1%
$2,654 Vol.
$2,654 Vol.
2026/09/09
71°F以下
いいえ
72〜73°F
いいえ
74～75°F
いいえ
76～77°F
いいえ
78〜79°F
いいえ
80～81°F
いいえ
82～83°F
はい
84〜85°F
いいえ
86〜87°F
いいえ
88〜89°F
いいえ
90°F以上
いいえ
82～83°F 100.0%
80～81°F 10%
78〜79°F 2%
71°F以下 <1%
$2,654 Vol.
$2,654 Vol.
2026/09/09
71°F以下
$102 Vol.
いいえ
72〜73°F
$84 Vol.
いいえ
74～75°F
$85 Vol.
いいえ
76～77°F
$60 Vol.
いいえ
78〜79°F
$97 Vol.
いいえ
80～81°F
$80 Vol.
いいえ
82～83°F
$501 Vol.
はい
84〜85°F
$368 Vol.
いいえ
86〜87°F
$110 Vol.
いいえ
88〜89°F
$1,077 Vol.
いいえ
90°F以上
$90 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The overwhelming 99.1% market-implied probability on an 82–83°F low for Dallas on September 9 reflects official National Weather Service verification that the minimum reached exactly 82°F at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport around 6:25 a.m. CDT.**
This value sits 11°F above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 71°F and aligns with a broader late-summer heat pattern, as daytime highs hit 101°F (tying a record) under clear skies and light southerly flow that limited nocturnal cooling. With the date now passed, traders are simply confirming the authoritative NWS climatological report rather than forecasting.
The only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution involve measurement discrepancies across official Dallas-area stations or post-verification data revisions, though neither appears likely given the consistency of preliminary observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
音量
$2,654終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The overwhelming 99.1% market-implied probability on an 82–83°F low for Dallas on September 9 reflects official National Weather Service verification that the minimum reached exactly 82°F at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport around 6:25 a.m. CDT.**
This value sits 11°F above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 71°F and aligns with a broader late-summer heat pattern, as daytime highs hit 101°F (tying a record) under clear skies and light southerly flow that limited nocturnal cooling. With the date now passed, traders are simply confirming the authoritative NWS climatological report rather than forecasting.
The only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution involve measurement discrepancies across official Dallas-area stations or post-verification data revisions, though neither appears likely given the consistency of preliminary observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,654終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**The overwhelming 99.1% market-implied probability on an 82–83°F low for Dallas on September 9 reflects official National Weather Service verification that the minimum reached exactly 82°F at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport around 6:25 a.m. CDT.** This value sits 11°F above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 71°F and aligns with a broader late-summer heat pattern, as daytime highs hit 101°F (tying a record) under clear skies and light southerly flow that limited nocturnal cooling. With the date now passed, traders are simply confirming the authoritative NWS climatological report rather than forecasting. The only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution involve measurement discrepancies across official Dallas-area stations or post-verification data revisions, though neither appears likely given the consistency of preliminary observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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