Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models (Met Office, Yr.no) indicate overnight lows near 26–27 °C for Karachi on 28 August 2026, consistent with the market’s strong 74.5 % weighting on 27 °C. Persistent high humidity (70–85 %) advected from the Arabian Sea, combined with moderate southwesterly sea breezes and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, limits nocturnal radiative cooling and keeps minima close to climatological norms. El Niño-driven suppression of monsoon convection has produced below-average rainfall this season, reducing cloud cover that might otherwise enhance cooling, while historical August overnight lows cluster around 26–27 °C. Current model consensus shows no incoming weather systems or temperature anomalies likely to shift the range before midnight, supporting trader consensus around the 26–27 °C band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のカラチの最低気温は?
27°C 98%
23°C 61%
24°C 13%
26°C 2%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
61%
24°C
13%
25°C
1%
26°C
26%
27°C
75%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 98%
23°C 61%
24°C 13%
26°C 2%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
61%
24°C
13%
25°C
1%
26°C
26%
27°C
75%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models (Met Office, Yr.no) indicate overnight lows near 26–27 °C for Karachi on 28 August 2026, consistent with the market’s strong 74.5 % weighting on 27 °C. Persistent high humidity (70–85 %) advected from the Arabian Sea, combined with moderate southwesterly sea breezes and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, limits nocturnal radiative cooling and keeps minima close to climatological norms. El Niño-driven suppression of monsoon convection has produced below-average rainfall this season, reducing cloud cover that might otherwise enhance cooling, while historical August overnight lows cluster around 26–27 °C. Current model consensus shows no incoming weather systems or temperature anomalies likely to shift the range before midnight, supporting trader consensus around the 26–27 °C band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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