Persistent Southwest Monsoon (habagat) activity and widespread cloud cover over Manila are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting overnight lows near the 25–26°C range typical for early September under these conditions. High humidity near 90% and frequent showers or thunderstorms further stabilize temperatures by trapping heat and moisture, consistent with official model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local monitoring. Recent observations show similar minima around 25–26°C amid ongoing rain, with no incoming high-pressure system or clear skies to drive sharper drops. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics against minor forecast variability in exact timing of any clearing, keeping 24–26°C outcomes tightly clustered as the most probable resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のマニラの最低気温は?
31°C以上 55%
27℃ 49%
28℃ 49%
24℃ 34%
21℃以下
7%
22℃
8%
23°C
21%
24℃
34%
25℃
32%
26°C
33%
27℃
49%
28℃
49%
29℃
7%
30°C
2%
31°C以上
55%
31°C以上 55%
27℃ 49%
28℃ 49%
24℃ 34%
21℃以下
7%
22℃
8%
23°C
21%
24℃
34%
25℃
32%
26°C
33%
27℃
49%
28℃
49%
29℃
7%
30°C
2%
31°C以上
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent Southwest Monsoon (habagat) activity and widespread cloud cover over Manila are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting overnight lows near the 25–26°C range typical for early September under these conditions. High humidity near 90% and frequent showers or thunderstorms further stabilize temperatures by trapping heat and moisture, consistent with official model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local monitoring. Recent observations show similar minima around 25–26°C amid ongoing rain, with no incoming high-pressure system or clear skies to drive sharper drops. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics against minor forecast variability in exact timing of any clearing, keeping 24–26°C outcomes tightly clustered as the most probable resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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