Current forecasts from agencies like Météo-France and ensemble models indicate the overnight minimum in Paris will align with typical mid-August climatology of 15–18°C, driven by radiative cooling under mostly clear skies following the day's heat. This baseline, combined with moderate wind patterns and soil conditions, underpins the market's near-certain consensus on 20°C or below. The ongoing heatwave primarily elevates daytime maxima via warm-air advection but has limited impact on nocturnal lows absent persistent cloud cover or humidity spikes. A realistic challenge could arise from revised model runs showing stronger warm advection or urban heat island effects pushing the minimum above 20°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日のパリの最低気温は？
8月14日のパリの最低気温は？
20°C以下 100.0%
21°C <1%
22℃ <1%
23℃ <1%
$12,957 Vol.
$12,957 Vol.
2026/08/14
20°C以下
はい
21°C
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30°C以上
いいえ
20°C以下 100.0%
21°C <1%
22℃ <1%
23℃ <1%
$12,957 Vol.
$12,957 Vol.
2026/08/14
20°C以下
$2,119 Vol.
はい
21°C
$2,623 Vol.
いいえ
22℃
$3,712 Vol.
いいえ
23℃
$570 Vol.
いいえ
24°C
$1,353 Vol.
いいえ
25℃
$1,130 Vol.
いいえ
26°C
$323 Vol.
いいえ
27℃
$289 Vol.
いいえ
28℃
$279 Vol.
いいえ
29°C
$279 Vol.
いいえ
30°C以上
$280 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like Météo-France and ensemble models indicate the overnight minimum in Paris will align with typical mid-August climatology of 15–18°C, driven by radiative cooling under mostly clear skies following the day's heat. This baseline, combined with moderate wind patterns and soil conditions, underpins the market's near-certain consensus on 20°C or below. The ongoing heatwave primarily elevates daytime maxima via warm-air advection but has limited impact on nocturnal lows absent persistent cloud cover or humidity spikes. A realistic challenge could arise from revised model runs showing stronger warm advection or urban heat island effects pushing the minimum above 20°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
音量
$12,957終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like Météo-France and ensemble models indicate the overnight minimum in Paris will align with typical mid-August climatology of 15–18°C, driven by radiative cooling under mostly clear skies following the day's heat. This baseline, combined with moderate wind patterns and soil conditions, underpins the market's near-certain consensus on 20°C or below. The ongoing heatwave primarily elevates daytime maxima via warm-air advection but has limited impact on nocturnal lows absent persistent cloud cover or humidity spikes. A realistic challenge could arise from revised model runs showing stronger warm advection or urban heat island effects pushing the minimum above 20°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$12,957終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Current forecasts from agencies like Météo-France and ensemble models indicate the overnight minimum in Paris will align with typical mid-August climatology of 15–18°C, driven by radiative cooling under mostly clear skies following the day's heat. This baseline, combined with moderate wind patterns and soil conditions, underpins the market's near-certain consensus on 20°C or below. The ongoing heatwave primarily elevates daytime maxima via warm-air advection but has limited impact on nocturnal lows absent persistent cloud cover or humidity spikes. A realistic challenge could arise from revised model runs showing stronger warm advection or urban heat island effects pushing the minimum above 20°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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