Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like the ECMWF and GFS show Paris overnight lows on August 19 clustering tightly around 17–19°C, driven by increased cloud cover and passing showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. Light winds and a mild maritime air mass further reduce temperature drops, keeping minima above the long-term August average of 14–15°C. Slight model spreads in predicted cloud thickness and timing differentiate the leading outcomes, with traders assigning highest implied probabilities to 18°C (31.5%) and 19°C (29.0%) as consensus centers on these values amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月19日のパリの最低気温は？
8月19日のパリの最低気温は？
18℃ 52%
19℃ 29%
17℃ 24%
16℃ 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/19
13°C以下
1%
14℃
6%
15°C
6%
16℃
13%
17℃
24%
18℃
32%
19℃
29%
20℃
7%
21°C
5%
22°C
6%
23°C以上
<1%
18℃ 52%
19℃ 29%
17℃ 24%
16℃ 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/19
13°C以下
$5 Vol.
1%
14℃
$5 Vol.
6%
15°C
$0 Vol.
6%
16℃
$207 Vol.
13%
17℃
$0 Vol.
24%
18℃
$6 Vol.
32%
19℃
$0 Vol.
29%
20℃
$41 Vol.
7%
21°C
$4 Vol.
5%
22°C
$5 Vol.
6%
23°C以上
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like the ECMWF and GFS show Paris overnight lows on August 19 clustering tightly around 17–19°C, driven by increased cloud cover and passing showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. Light winds and a mild maritime air mass further reduce temperature drops, keeping minima above the long-term August average of 14–15°C. Slight model spreads in predicted cloud thickness and timing differentiate the leading outcomes, with traders assigning highest implied probabilities to 18°C (31.5%) and 19°C (29.0%) as consensus centers on these values amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
音量
$278終了日
2026/08/19マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like the ECMWF and GFS show Paris overnight lows on August 19 clustering tightly around 17–19°C, driven by increased cloud cover and passing showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. Light winds and a mild maritime air mass further reduce temperature drops, keeping minima above the long-term August average of 14–15°C. Slight model spreads in predicted cloud thickness and timing differentiate the leading outcomes, with traders assigning highest implied probabilities to 18°C (31.5%) and 19°C (29.0%) as consensus centers on these values amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$278終了日
2026/08/19マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from major models like the ECMWF and GFS show Paris overnight lows on August 19 clustering tightly around 17–19°C, driven by increased cloud cover and passing showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. Light winds and a mild maritime air mass further reduce temperature drops, keeping minima above the long-term August average of 14–15°C. Slight model spreads in predicted cloud thickness and timing differentiate the leading outcomes, with traders assigning highest implied probabilities to 18°C (31.5%) and 19°C (29.0%) as consensus centers on these values amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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