**Official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C in Qingdao on September 9, 2026, supported by northerly winds of 3–5 Beaufort and partly cloudy to clear overnight conditions that promote radiational cooling.** Multiple model runs show highs near 25–27°C transitioning to lows around 16–19°C, consistent with early September climatology for the coastal Shandong region where marine influence moderates extremes. Trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for exactly 16°C reflects this model agreement and historical observation patterns at standard stations. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded by authorized weather services; a warmer urban heat island effect or delayed measurement could push the outcome higher, though current data make such shifts unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日の青島の最低気温は？
9月9日の青島の最低気温は？
16℃ 95%
15℃ 20%
14℃以下 10%
17℃ <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
14℃以下
10%
15℃
20%
16℃
95%
17℃
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C以上
<1%
16℃ 95%
15℃ 20%
14℃以下 10%
17℃ <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
14℃以下
$45 Vol.
10%
15℃
$0 Vol.
20%
16℃
$385 Vol.
95%
17℃
$251 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$261 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$301 Vol.
<1%
20℃
$194 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$264 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$117 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
24°C以上
$677 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C in Qingdao on September 9, 2026, supported by northerly winds of 3–5 Beaufort and partly cloudy to clear overnight conditions that promote radiational cooling.** Multiple model runs show highs near 25–27°C transitioning to lows around 16–19°C, consistent with early September climatology for the coastal Shandong region where marine influence moderates extremes. Trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for exactly 16°C reflects this model agreement and historical observation patterns at standard stations. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded by authorized weather services; a warmer urban heat island effect or delayed measurement could push the outcome higher, though current data make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$2,734終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C in Qingdao on September 9, 2026, supported by northerly winds of 3–5 Beaufort and partly cloudy to clear overnight conditions that promote radiational cooling.** Multiple model runs show highs near 25–27°C transitioning to lows around 16–19°C, consistent with early September climatology for the coastal Shandong region where marine influence moderates extremes. Trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for exactly 16°C reflects this model agreement and historical observation patterns at standard stations. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded by authorized weather services; a warmer urban heat island effect or delayed measurement could push the outcome higher, though current data make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,734終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C in Qingdao on September 9, 2026, supported by northerly winds of 3–5 Beaufort and partly cloudy to clear overnight conditions that promote radiational cooling.** Multiple model runs show highs near 25–27°C transitioning to lows around 16–19°C, consistent with early September climatology for the coastal Shandong region where marine influence moderates extremes. Trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for exactly 16°C reflects this model agreement and historical observation patterns at standard stations. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded by authorized weather services; a warmer urban heat island effect or delayed measurement could push the outcome higher, though current data make such shifts unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問