Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts and regional models project a Tokyo minimum temperature of 24°C on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-summer humidity levels near 80%. This aligns with climatological baselines for the period, where overnight lows average 23–25°C amid suppressed diurnal ranges. Market-implied odds reflect this strong consensus from official guidance. Clearer skies or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could allow greater cooling and push the low below 24°C, though current observations show limited likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日の東京の最低気温は？
8月13日の東京の最低気温は？
24℃ 100.0%
18℃以下 <1%
19℃ <1%
20℃ <1%
$17,372 Vol.
$17,372 Vol.
2026/08/13
18℃以下
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃
はい
25℃
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27°C
いいえ
28℃以上
いいえ
24℃ 100.0%
18℃以下 <1%
19℃ <1%
20℃ <1%
$17,372 Vol.
$17,372 Vol.
2026/08/13
18℃以下
$1,063 Vol.
いいえ
19℃
$1,302 Vol.
いいえ
20℃
$1,663 Vol.
いいえ
21°C
$2,139 Vol.
いいえ
22°C
$1,314 Vol.
いいえ
23℃
$2,761 Vol.
いいえ
24℃
$2,658 Vol.
はい
25℃
$3,518 Vol.
いいえ
26℃
$339 Vol.
いいえ
27°C
$322 Vol.
いいえ
28℃以上
$292 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts and regional models project a Tokyo minimum temperature of 24°C on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-summer humidity levels near 80%. This aligns with climatological baselines for the period, where overnight lows average 23–25°C amid suppressed diurnal ranges. Market-implied odds reflect this strong consensus from official guidance. Clearer skies or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could allow greater cooling and push the low below 24°C, though current observations show limited likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$17,372終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts and regional models project a Tokyo minimum temperature of 24°C on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-summer humidity levels near 80%. This aligns with climatological baselines for the period, where overnight lows average 23–25°C amid suppressed diurnal ranges. Market-implied odds reflect this strong consensus from official guidance. Clearer skies or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could allow greater cooling and push the low below 24°C, though current observations show limited likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$17,372終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts and regional models project a Tokyo minimum temperature of 24°C on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-summer humidity levels near 80%. This aligns with climatological baselines for the period, where overnight lows average 23–25°C amid suppressed diurnal ranges. Market-implied odds reflect this strong consensus from official guidance. Clearer skies or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could allow greater cooling and push the low below 24°C, though current observations show limited likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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